Jump to content

Zogby says...


Recommended Posts



In May of this year I wrote a column arguing that Senator F. John Kerry would defeat President George W. Bush in the November election. I based my conclusion on several factors. First, that Mr. Bush was posting weak numbers for an incumbent. In fact, the last three incumbents seeking re-election with numbers like his all went down in defeat ? Gerald Ford in 1976, Jimmy Carter in 1980, and the President?s father in 1992.


Second, I noted that Mr. Kerry led the President by double digits on four of the top five issues ? the economy, health care, the conduct in the war in Iraq, and education. Third, is Mr. Kerry?s own history as a good ?closer?, who has famously reached for victory in the throes of defeat several times before ? notably from a dismal 2003 to victories in the Democratic primaries.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This thread is quite old. Please consider starting a new thread rather than reviving this one.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Create New...