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Over / Under, 30%: Emilio Bonifacio will be our starting 3B, come Opening Day.

 

Over / Under, 10%: Jose Ceda will make the team out of Spring Training.

 

Over / Under, 60%: Jorge Cantu will be a Florida Marlin in 2009.

 

Over / Under, 20%: Someone will take the closers' role away from Matt Lindstrom, via Spring Training performance.

 

Think of some more, if you'd like to keep the game going.

Over / Under, 30%: Emilio Bonifacio will be our starting 3B, come Opening Day.

 

Under

 

 

Over / Under, 10%: Jose Ceda will make the team out of Spring Training.

 

 

Over

 

Over / Under, 60%: Jorge Cantu will be a Florida Marlin in 2009.

 

Over

 

Over / Under, 20%: Someone will take the closers' role away from Matt Lindstrom, via Spring Training performance.

 

 

Under

 

 

Over / Under 15% Logan Morrison Is the starting 1B come June 1st.

  • Author

Over / Under 15% Logan Morrison Is the starting 1B come June 1st.

 

I'll say under.

Over / Under, 30%: Emilio Bonifacio will be our starting 3B, come Opening Day.

 

Under

 

 

Over / Under, 10%: Jose Ceda will make the team out of Spring Training.

 

 

Over

 

Over / Under, 60%: Jorge Cantu will be a Florida Marlin in 2009.

 

Over

 

Over / Under, 20%: Someone will take the closers' role away from Matt Lindstrom, via Spring Training performance.

 

 

Under

 

 

Over / Under 15% Logan Morrison Is the starting 1B come June 1st.

 

Under

Over / Under, 30%: Emilio Bonifacio will be our starting 3B, come Opening Day.

Under

 

Over / Under, 10%: Jose Ceda will make the team out of Spring Training.

Over

 

Over / Under, 60%: Jorge Cantu will be a Florida Marlin in 2009.

Over

 

Over / Under, 20%: Someone will take the closers' role away from Matt Lindstrom, via Spring Training performance.

Under

 

 

Over / Under 15% Logan Morrison Is the starting 1B come June 1st.

Under

Over or under, 13 homers for Gaby Sanchez?

I'll keep the game going, but you need to first explain how you can make an over/under bet on whether there is a 10% or 30% shot of something happening.

I'll keep the game going, but you need to first explain how you can make an over/under bet on whether there is a 10% or 30% shot of something happening.

 

I think he just means do you think it's more or less likely to happen... and then how much so

I'll keep the game going, but you need to first explain how you can make an over/under bet on whether there is a 10% or 30% shot of something happening.

 

I think he just means do you think it's more or less likely to happen... and then how much so

 

That's fine. But he should just ask what the odds are. You can't really apply over/under bets to this.

 

As far as that goes, I think the odds are Bonifacio will not be our starting 3B on Opening Day, Jorge Cantu will be a Florida Marlin in 2009 (at least part of it), and Matt Lindstrom will retain his spot as Marlins closer (at least in the beginning). But for something different I'll say odds are Jose Ceda makes the team out of ST. Beinfest likes to prove that the near ready prospects he trades for are in fact ready (many times this pans out), so I say he makes the team if he puts up decent numbers in ST.

I'll keep the game going, but you need to first explain how you can make an over/under bet on whether there is a 10% or 30% shot of something happening.

 

I think he just means do you think it's more or less likely to happen... and then how much so

 

That's fine. But he should just ask what the odds are. You can't really apply over/under bets to this.

 

As far as that goes, I think the odds are Bonifacio will not be our starting 3B on Opening Day, Jorge Cantu will be a Florida Marlin in 2009 (at least part of it), and Matt Lindstrom will retain his spot as Marlins closer. But for something different I'll say odds are Jose Ceda makes the team out of ST. Beinfest likes to prove that the near ready prospects he trades for are in fact ready (many times this pans out), so I say he makes the team if he puts up decent numbers in ST.

 

He's referencing Around the Horn's "game"* over-under where they do what I said... it's not about bets...

 

*Correct me if Im wrong

i think it would be better to just ask what the chance of something happening would be instead of asking over or under the percentage listed. like this:

 

Emilio Bonifacio will be our starting 3B, come Opening Day. (0%)

Jose Ceda will make the team out of Spring Training. (90%)

Jorge Cantu will be a Florida Marlin in 2009. (80%)

Someone will take the closers' role away from Matt Lindstrom, via Spring Training performance (25%)

Logan Morrison Is the starting 1B come June 1st (5%)

I'll keep the game going, but you need to first explain how you can make an over/under bet on whether there is a 10% or 30% shot of something happening.

 

I think he just means do you think it's more or less likely to happen... and then how much so

 

That's fine. But he should just ask what the odds are. You can't really apply over/under bets to this.

 

As far as that goes, I think the odds are Bonifacio will not be our starting 3B on Opening Day, Jorge Cantu will be a Florida Marlin in 2009 (at least part of it), and Matt Lindstrom will retain his spot as Marlins closer. But for something different I'll say odds are Jose Ceda makes the team out of ST. Beinfest likes to prove that the near ready prospects he trades for are in fact ready (many times this pans out), so I say he makes the team if he puts up decent numbers in ST.

 

He's referencing Around the Horn's "game"* over-under where they do what I said... it's not about bets...

 

*Correct me if Im wrong

 

I could say that there is more than a 40% shot of saying something will happen, but it is not possible to find out whether or not it is right. The percentage of the chance of it happening fluctuates and when it does happen, you can't say whether there was more or less than a 40% chance of it happening at that point - at least when we are talking about MLB roster moves. There are too many intangibles involved.

I could say that there is more than a 40% shot of saying something will happen, but it is not possible to find out whether or not it is right. The percentage of the chance of it happening fluctuates and when it does happen, you can't say whether there was more or less than a 40% chance of it happening at that point - at least when we are talking about MLB roster moves. There are too many intangibles involved.

 

It's not really meant to be taken that seriously :confused

 

It's just... "I think something is this likely to happen, do you think it's more or less likely"

I could say that there is more than a 40% shot of saying something will happen, but it is not possible to find out whether or not it is right. The percentage of the chance of it happening fluctuates and when it does happen, you can't say whether there was more or less than a 40% chance of it happening at that point - at least when we are talking about MLB roster moves. There are too many intangibles involved.

 

It's not really meant to be taken that seriously :confused

 

It's just... "I think something is this likely to happen, do you think it's more or less likely"

 

Then just say that - it makes more sense. Are there odds that this will happen or no. It really isn't worth debating, but it just irked me to see the concept of over/under applied to whether or not there was a 10% or 30% chance of a roster move happening.

I'll keep the game going, but you need to first explain how you can make an over/under bet on whether there is a 10% or 30% shot of something happening.

 

I think he just means do you think it's more or less likely to happen... and then how much so

 

That's fine. But he should just ask what the odds are. You can't really apply over/under bets to this.

 

As far as that goes, I think the odds are Bonifacio will not be our starting 3B on Opening Day, Jorge Cantu will be a Florida Marlin in 2009 (at least part of it), and Matt Lindstrom will retain his spot as Marlins closer. But for something different I'll say odds are Jose Ceda makes the team out of ST. Beinfest likes to prove that the near ready prospects he trades for are in fact ready (many times this pans out), so I say he makes the team if he puts up decent numbers in ST.

 

He's referencing Around the Horn's "game"* over-under where they do what I said... it's not about bets...

 

*Correct me if Im wrong

 

i'm not sure, but i think over/under is on PTI not Around the Horn. also Erick's combining over/under with odds makers so i understand why PBC's confused.

i'm not sure, but i think over/under is on PTI not Around the Horn. also Erick's combining over/under with odds makers so i understand why PBC's confused.

 

Haha, one of those games... I don't really watch... all those guys annoy me... Ill watch when LeBatard is on though

i'm not sure, but i think over/under is on PTI not Around the Horn. also Erick's combining over/under with odds makers so i understand why PBC's confused.

 

Haha, one of those games... I don't really watch... all those guys annoy me... Ill watch when LeBatard is on though

 

i used to watch both shows alot but they kind of suck now. i also enjoy watching when LeBatard is on PTI, usually sitting in for Kornheiser. i liked michael smith too when he was on around the horn. the best show ever was 1st and 10 with woody paige and skip bayless because they hated each other but now it's not worth watching without woody.

Over or under, 13 homers for Gaby Sanchez?

 

 

Anyways... :whistle

 

I'll go under as I see him being a slight disappointment this year. I kind of like playing this way too...so over under 15 Games Started for Anibal Sanchez?

I'll keep the game going, but you need to first explain how you can make an over/under bet on whether there is a 10% or 30% shot of something happening.

 

Maybe we could think of converting the % to odds.

For example, would you make/take a bet getting 2.33:1 that Emilio Bonifacio is our starting 3B on opening day?

"" 9:1 Ceda makes the team out of ST

"" 2:3 Jorge Cantu starts 2009 as a Marlin?

"" 4:1 Lindstrom loses the closer's job out of ST?

"" 17:3 Logan Morrison is the 1B by June 1st?

 

I say: No to Bonifacio

Yes to Ceda - this would probably be the strongest bet to make here, IMO.

Yes to Jorge

No to Lindstrom, although this one is tempting. If I were really betting, I'd stay away from this one.

No to Logan. How about Logan after the All-Star break? or after the trading deadline? What kinda odds would you need/would you take that bet at what odds?

Over / Under, 30%: Emilio Bonifacio will be our starting 3B, come Opening Day.

 

Way under, probably around 1%.

 

Over / Under, 10%: Jose Ceda will make the team out of Spring Training.

 

Over.

 

Over / Under, 60%: Jorge Cantu will be a Florida Marlin in 2009.

 

Over.

 

Over / Under, 20%: Someone will take the closers' role away from Matt Lindstrom, via Spring Training performance.

 

Under.

 

 

Over/Under, 50%: Jeremy Hermida will be traded by the end of the 2009 season.

  • Author

I got a little carried away with the "what are the odds?" thing. Anyways, pretend that you're Tony Kornheiser...or Mike Wilbon...on PTI.

New stadium renderings before Jan. 1 (Over/Under 50%)

Over / Under, 30%: Emilio Bonifacio will be our starting 3B, come Opening Day.

 

UNDER

 

Over / Under, 10%: Jose Ceda will make the team out of Spring Training.

 

OVER

 

Over / Under, 60%: Jorge Cantu will be a Florida Marlin in 2009.

 

OVER

 

Over / Under, 20%: Someone will take the closers' role away from Matt Lindstrom, via Spring Training performance

 

SLIGHTLY OVER

 

New stadium renderings before Jan. 1 (Over/Under 50%)

 

UNDER

 

 

Over or under 3 SP with 10 +wins for the Fish

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