Jump to content

Article on fangraphs


Erick
 Share

Recommended Posts

Overview

 

The Marlins are once again pacing for a record around .500 -- an impressive feat, given a payroll shy of $50 million. Nevertheless, the Marlins are still in fourth place in the National League East and seem unlikely to make a real run to catch up and sustain the pace being set by Phillies and Braves. They could certainly add someone in a similar capacity to the Nick Johnson trade last deadline, but odds are, they’ll hold steady or even move a part or two.

 

Buy or Sell?

 

Sell seems like the better option since the Marlins could cash in on a few pieces getting too expensive. Dan Uggla, Cody Ross, and Ricky Nolasco will enter their final year of team control next season; meanwhile, Jorge Cantu and Wes Helms will become free agents (as will Nate Robertson, but the Marlins are only paying him $400K).

 

Cantu seems like the most likely to be moved. Gaby Sanchez and Wes Helms make him a bit redundant and he’s not going to bring back Type-A compensation in free agency.

 

Untouchables on the current roster include Hanley Ramirez, Mike Stanton, Josh Johnson, and Anibal Sanchez given how he’s pitched. Everyone else seems like a potential trade target -- especially some of the Marlins’ relievers. Leo Nunez will probably stay in place, although they should listen to offers, but rejuvenation project Clay Hensley could lead to an interesting dilemma when it comes to weighing their confidence in his ability versus the guarantee of a return before a potential collapse.

 

The rest of the Marlins’ roster is a collection of young players and useful and (more importantly) cheap cogs without the kind of trade value that makes them must-goes.

 

On The Farm

 

Here’s where the Marlins shine. They just promoted Stanton, but Logan Morrison seems like the future at first base. 2007’s first-round pick, third baseman Matt Dominguez, is currently in Double-A Jacksonville. Meanwhile Triple-A New Orleans holds the team’s top two outfield prospects in Bryan Peterson and Scott Cousins. New Orleans also features a number of former major leaguers who could step in if the Marlins feel uncomfortable burning service time in a losing effort down the stretch.

 

As for pitching, the Marlins have a drove. There’s Chad James, Ryan Tucker, Brad Hand, Jhan Martinez, and yes, even old familiar names like Andrew Miller and Brett Sinkbeil – although it’s important to note neither is particularly close to their former prospect selves … Sinkbeil especially, he’s essentially a replacement level reliever at the Triple-A level.

 

The two spots the Marlins have organizational weakness at are the two that form the middle infield, although one could list catcher depending on their evaluation of Kyle Skipworth.

 

Budget

 

Just as Ambrose Bierce once wrote, “War is God’s way of teaching Americans geography�, the trade deadline is baseball’s way of teaching Marlins fans how the economic aspect of player development works. Hate him or … well, just slightly dislike him, Jeffrey Loria sticks to his guns when it comes to spending money. All success is credit to the Marlins’ front office’s creativity and ability to strike gold when they’re paying in tinfoil. Something that doesn’t appear likely to change within the next six months.

 

 

 

http://www.fangraphs...http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/what-the-florida-marlins-should-do/

Link to comment
Share on other sites

They have Nolasco for two more seasons. I also don't think Wes Helms makes Jorge Cantu redundant.

 

I'd say the team is HOLD for 6 weeks, then they see if it's buy or sell. If they do sell though, I suspect Cantu, Robertson, Helms, and Hensley are moved quick, with maybes to Uggla, Cody, and Leo if someone is desperate and wants to overpay.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

They have Nolasco for two more seasons. I also don't think Wes Helms makes Jorge Cantu redundant.

 

I'd say the team is HOLD for 6 weeks, then they see if it's buy or sell. If they do sell though, I suspect Cantu, Robertson, Helms, and Hensley are moved quick, with maybes to Uggla, Cody, and Leo if someone is desperate and wants to overpay.

 

 

 

Yeah, I thought that made no sense, as well.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Nolasco just pisses me off.

 

Nolasco is Jekyll & Hyde... One game he makes him and JJ look like the best 1 - 2 punch in the league and then the next game he looks like he needs to go to AAA... One game he strikes out a lot of batters, then the next he is very hittable... just don't get it with him

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Does anybody notice when Nolasco struggles it seems like his arm angle is more in a three quarters position. This is usually when he can't throw the 12-6 as well. I'm not sure though because I'm sure the pitching coach would be able to pick up on something like that, i hope.

 

 

He already did, days or more ago.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

 Share



×
×
  • Create New...