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PECOTA projects 71 wins


SonOfJack
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Atlanta Braves

 

The Braves were in first in the NL East in 97 of the 162 days of the 2019 season. They were in first for 105 days in 2018. The core of Ronald Acuña, Ozzie Albies, and Mike Soroka is returning and they’re all 23 or younger. Freddie Freeman’s been a four-win player for four straight years. What’s not to like?

 

To their credit, the Braves have sought to improve the club, signing free agents Travis d’Arnaud, Cole Hamels, Marcell Ozuna, and Will Smith. PECOTA sees them adding 6.5 wins. But they also lost Josh Donaldson, Dallas Keuchel, and Julio Teheran, who contributed 9.2 wins in 2019. That’s nearly a three-win deficit. And PECOTA expects the Acuña/Albies/Soroka/Freeman core to generate nearly six fewer wins than in 2019. The bullpen’s deep, but the rotation falls off after Soroka and Hamels. And, as always, there’s The Chop…

 

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/57021/why-pecota-hates-your-favorite-team-2020-edition/

 

Makes sense to me. They added a lot of talent, but lost even more. A few regressions sprinkled in, and suddenly Alex Anthropolous has done in ATL what he did in TOR -- taken a promising team with the top farm system and made them mediocre.

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https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/57021/why-pecota-hates-your-favorite-team-2020-edition/

 

Makes sense to me. They added a lot of talent, but lost even more. A few regressions sprinkled in, and suddenly Alex Anthropolous has done in ATL what he did in TOR -- taken a promising team with the top farm system and made them mediocre.

That looks interesting, but I'm not paying for another baseball-only site.

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