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Clutch Hitting

Snake Eyes

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Win expectency is really fascinating. It has its faults (too little credit to the initial events; no adjustment for talent level; and the need of years of sample data that may crossover different playing eras and screws its predictive value), but the fact that it draws from real data and cleanly describes each little event's worth is quite unique. It's one of the things that convinced me of the value of outs and stupidity of smallball. I'd love to see what this study has to say on clutch hitting.

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