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Is PA really a toss up?


Rune
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They love to talk about PA being a toss up on almost every political show. Usually indicating to a poll that says we are tied.

 

Let me tell you about Pennsylvania, unless your a real moderate republican, polls don't mean anything we're going democratic.

 

Rick Santorum is the lone exception to this and really he got voted in on his appearance more so than his politics.

 

Some of our recent voting record

 

2000: Went Gore

02: Went with Ed Rendell and have loved him ever since

04: Took the strong moderate Spector over the highly endorced and wealthy Toomey.

 

Spector and Ridge were both moderates which is why they thrived here in this state which is mostly moderate but I highly doubt we'll be going conservative in this election. I say Kerry takes PA by 4 and most likely takes Michigan which leaves Florida and Ohio up in play where Bush has a slight advantage.

 

What will be intresting is Zogby's polling of Ohio released on Tuesday reflecting Kerry's midnight Rally and two day stay in the state.

 

Watch for that number to really shape this campaign up.

 

Now this is why a good political race can beat a tight WC race any day IMO :thumbup

 

That was an extreamly lame statement btw.

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I like the fact that Kerry's getting tough with Bush.

 

Florida will go to Bush as much as that kills me to say it.

 

But every political pundit worth his salt (Tim Russert, Matthews, Carville, Carlson) or anybody who has a remote knowledge of politics says that the 2 states that this election will be decided in are Ohio and Wisconsin.

 

And I'm normally happy when Wisconsin gets attention, but I don't like that Wisconsin is getting attention as a Blue state that could go red.

 

I just hate that Wisconsin could go to Bush, especially since Wisconsin has a very, very, very Popular Democratic governor elected in 2002 with Jim Doyle, and has 2 very popular Senators with Russ Feingold and Herb Kohl and most of our district representatives in the US Assembly are Democrats.

 

You would think Wisconsin's an easy dem state but its not and I just hate that.

 

Ohio though thank god, Kerry has spent the last 3-4 days in Ohio just pounding away at the southern part of the state.

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Tennesee is another key state right now, Kerry currently has a small lead there and taking that really would take away the blow of losing Florida if it happens. Plus taking New Hampshire and a few states outwest looks to be happening for him.

 

I really like the way his campaign has reloaded after some initial shock, his new ad calling BUSH the flip flopper is going to be effective.

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Tennesee is another key state right now, Kerry currently has a small lead there and taking that really would take away the blow of losing Florida if it happens. Plus taking New Hampshire and a few states outwest looks to be happening for him.

 

I really like the way his campaign has reloaded after some initial shock, his new ad calling BUSH the flip flopper is going to be effective.

544235[/snapback]

 

What pisses me off is how Gore didn't carry that state, and if he did he would've won the election.

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The problem though was that Tennessee got more conservative as Gore got less.

 

Another state to watch out for and that his been a virtual tie is Missouri. Also, Kerry has a shot at Virginia as Bush only seems to poll around with a 4% lead there. I also think Wisconsin will end up going to Kerry.

 

Why do you guys think Florida is already Bushs? Mel Martinez winning doesnt help Kerry but the recent medicare rate hike and the confusion and realization of seniors in regards to the prescrition drug plan may cause Bush to suffer among seniors. That might depend on the AARP's endorcment.

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The problem though was that Tennessee got more conservative as Gore got less.

 

Another state to watch out for and that his been a virtual tie is Missouri. Also, Kerry has a shot at Virginia as Bush only seems to poll around with a 4% lead there. I also think Wisconsin will end up going to Kerry.

 

Why do you guys think Florida is already Bushs? Mel Martinez winning doesnt help Kerry but the recent medicare rate hike and the confusion and realization of seniors in regards to the prescrition drug plan may cause Bush to suffer among seniors. That might depend on the AARP's endorcment.

544282[/snapback]

 

Not to mention the entire Buish flip flopper attack ad, focuses on what he said about medicare at the convention and what happened the next day.

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