November 2, 200422 yr Make of these numbers what you will. These are exit poll numbers, not offical votes. AZ CO LA MI WI PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH Kerry 45 48 42 51 52 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57 Bush 55 51 57 48 48 40 48 48 47 48 40 43 49 41
November 2, 200422 yr AZ CO LA MI WI PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH Kerry 45 48 42 51 52 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57 Bush 55 51 57 48 48 40 48 48 47 48 40 43 49 41
November 2, 200422 yr Make of these numbers what you will. These are exit poll numbers, not offical votes. ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? AZ? CO? LA? MI? WI? PA? OH? FL? MI? NM? MN? WI? IA? NH Kerry? ? 45? 48? 42? 51? 52? 60? 52? 51? 51? 50? 58? 52? 49? 57 Bush? ? 55? 51? 57? 48? 48? 40? 48? 48? 47? 48? 40? 43? 49? 41 606506[/snapback] Just out of curiosity, do you have a link for this? (Not to challenge the numbers, but as a place for me to continue to check during the day).
November 2, 200422 yr Author Make of these numbers what you will. These are exit poll numbers, not offical votes. AZ CO LA MI WI PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH Kerry 45 48 42 51 52 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57 Bush 55 51 57 48 48 40 48 48 47 48 40 43 49 41 606506[/snapback] Just out of curiosity, do you have a link for this? (Not to challenge the numbers, but as a place for me to continue to check during the day). 606509[/snapback] www.exit-poll.org It is also on Drudgereport if exit-poll doesn't load.
November 2, 200422 yr AZ CO LA MI WI PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH Kerry 45 48 42 51 52 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57 Bush 55 51 57 48 48 40 48 48 47 48 40 43 49 41 606508[/snapback] That's impressive.
November 2, 200422 yr Author how exactly are these numbers drawn up? 606522[/snapback] Basically when people leave the polls, they are randomly pulled aside and asked who they are voted for. And they do this to a bunch of people, and they tabulate it up. These don' account for absentee or early voting, just today, so they are not overly accurate, but in a society that loves up to the minute numbers this is how you get them.
November 2, 200422 yr Ugh..I think Im gonna puke from the nervousness. 606528[/snapback] already did. :o
November 2, 200422 yr But early sample was based on a 59- 41 women to men ratio. 606530[/snapback] How is that possible? I suppose if men go between the hours of 5-7 then that would be accurate. Thats not good. :plain
November 2, 200422 yr Author But early sample was based on a 59- 41 women to men ratio. 606530[/snapback] How is that possible? I suppose if men go between the hours of 5-7 then that would be accurate. Thats not good. :plain 606536[/snapback] Acctually, if you want to really use polls. The national polls have been showing women have been stronger for Bush and men stronger for Kerry. So... you could say with it 59-41 women, and Kerry is winning..... then Kerry will win in a land slide because a lot of women have flipped sides.
November 2, 200422 yr But early sample was based on a 59- 41 women to men ratio. 606530[/snapback] How is that possible? I suppose if men go between the hours of 5-7 then that would be accurate. Thats not good. :plain 606536[/snapback] Acctually, if you want to really use polls. The national polls have been showing women have been stronger for Bush and men stronger for Kerry. So... you could say with it 59-41 women, and Kerry is winning..... then Kerry will win in a land slide because a lot of women have flipped sides. 606537[/snapback] Interestingly, the exit polls in 2000 favored Bush. Going with the "men vote after work theory," Bush should have finished Gore off. But you are right, the gender gap has narrowed but I think men still favor Bush and women Kerry though right?
November 2, 200422 yr Author But early sample was based on a 59- 41 women to men ratio. 606530[/snapback] How is that possible? I suppose if men go between the hours of 5-7 then that would be accurate. Thats not good. :plain 606536[/snapback] Acctually, if you want to really use polls. The national polls have been showing women have been stronger for Bush and men stronger for Kerry. So... you could say with it 59-41 women, and Kerry is winning..... then Kerry will win in a land slide because a lot of women have flipped sides. 606537[/snapback] Interestingly, the exit polls in 2000 favored Bush. Going with the "men vote after work theory," Bush should have finished Gore off. But you are right, the gender gap has narrowed but I think men still favor Bush and women Kerry though right? 606538[/snapback] No a number of polls showed Bush leading the women's vote and Kerry leading the men, I'll go look for them, I think the Fox News poll was one of them.
November 2, 200422 yr I trust these more... http://slate.msn.com/id/2109053/ Those other numbers are pretty whacky. Things look VERY tight. Sligthly good news for Kerry supporters.
November 2, 200422 yr Ugh..I think Im gonna puke from the nervousness. 606528[/snapback] *cleaning own puke* :wacko :
November 2, 200422 yr But early sample was based on a 59- 41 women to men ratio. 606530[/snapback] How is that possible? I suppose if men go between the hours of 5-7 then that would be accurate. Thats not good. :plain 606536[/snapback] Acctually, if you want to really use polls. The national polls have been showing women have been stronger for Bush and men stronger for Kerry. So... you could say with it 59-41 women, and Kerry is winning..... then Kerry will win in a land slide because a lot of women have flipped sides. 606537[/snapback] Interestingly, the exit polls in 2000 favored Bush. Going with the "men vote after work theory," Bush should have finished Gore off. But you are right, the gender gap has narrowed but I think men still favor Bush and women Kerry though right? 606538[/snapback] No a number of polls showed Bush leading the women's vote and Kerry leading the men, I'll go look for them, I think the Fox News poll was one of them. 606541[/snapback] I hope youre right. But just in case those polls are wrong, I imagine there are a lot of women who work 9-5 also. I wonder what the distribution is on 9-5 workers. Im starting to think its not that large proportionally in terms of men. Maybe in 50/50. Women also vote more than men. Plus the women who work 9-5 I think go strongly Kerry and a lot of security moms have probably voted. Im still nervous as hell.
November 2, 200422 yr btw where did u get the men/women distrubution? www.exit-poll.net seems to be down right now. Heavy traffic?
November 2, 200422 yr Author btw where did u get the men/women distrubution? www.exit-poll.net seems to be down right now. Heavy traffic? 606554[/snapback] Its impossible to get on any poll website right now.
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