Ah, alright. Oh well.

 

Romney is the party base candidate

How?

My understanding was that Fred Thompson is the base candidate...

 

Romney is just the GOP's answer to John Kerry.

Ah, alright. Oh well.

 

Romney is the party base candidate

How?

 

Just look up his favorables among self-identified conservatives.

I'm not going to call anyone who's radically changed a few of his views the base candidate. Sorry.

I'm not going to call anyone who's radically changed a few of his views the base candidate. Sorry.

 

OK then, call him the candidate favored by the party base at this moment. :whistle

What polls are you looking at?

 

Rasmussen:

27% Giuliani

16% McCain

14% Thompson

12% Romney

 

Big group link

 

FOX News

22% Giuliani

15% McCain

13% Thompson

10% Romney

 

USA Today/Gallup

32% Giuliani

19% McCain

11% Thompson

12% Romney

 

ABC News/W Post

32% Giuliani

19% McCain

11% Thompson

9% Romney

 

McLaughlin

24% Giuliani

17% McCain

18% Thompson

7% Romney

 

Zogby

26% Giuliani

13% McCain

10% Thompson

10% Romney

 

Hotline/FD

26% Giuliani

17% McCain

9% Thompson

8% Romney

 

Look at that strong base support!

Romney leads the CPAC and Heritage Foundation straw polls, those are the conservatives. The 30% or so of the party that always shows up. It doesn't matter what the national poll says, because primaries are state by state, and it doesn't matter what self-identified Republicans say because primaries are about who shows up.

In the CPAC poll taken during the conference in March, Romney was winning by 4 points over Giuliani before the debates started. These polls are now three months old.

 

Furthermore, the polls didn't include Fred Thompson.

Ron Paul comes in second at Utah Straw Poll (not an online poll, an official poll with delegates) to Romney: http://www.heraldextra.com/content/view/224903/4/

 

 

Apparently, Ron Paul is not a fringe candidate, and taken in conjunction with reports his campaign has begun massing millions of dollars, he is starting to make a serious run.

__________________

U.S. Arming Sunnis in Iraq to Battle Old Qaeda Allies (see http://www.nytimes.com/2007/06/11/world/mi...amp;oref=slogin)

 

You would think that after what happenrf after we supported Sunni militants in Afghanistan in the 80s, we would learn our lesson by now.

 

There's your foreign policy people! I'm not sure who exactly it is supposed to keep "safe" in the long run, but hey, vote Romney, Giulliani, or McCain, and we'll keep on arming those Sunni militants! I'm sure it is as brilliant as arming those militants to overthrow Iran (according to some reports, see http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml.../27/wiran27.xml). Overthrowing an Iranian government in the past did not turn out so well.

 

Sadly, I think this will "blow back" up in our faces.