April 20, 201016 yr I can't wait for Andrew to get his sh*t together and be the dominant starting pitcher he was at UNC.
April 20, 201016 yr Andrew Miller's about to turn 25. Not saying that's old by any means, but it's getting to the point where it's time to stop being excited about him, and his potential. Hopefully, he can turn into a backend of the rotation starter. If not, perhaps he can be a LOOGY; he's had more success against left-handed hitters throughout his career, so it's a possibility if all else fails. He doesn't exactly have a platoon split. WHIP LHP: 1.68 RHP: 1.65 FIP LHP: 4.38 RHP: 4.55 BABIP LHP: .325 RHP: .336 He does strike out more against lefties (9.73 v.s. 6.38) but walks a ton more (6.99 v.s. 4.45) so that his K/BB is actually worse against LHP (1.39 v.s. 1.43). I assume this is because he uses his slider more against lefties, which gets him more strike outs, but he can barely control. Turning him into a reliever might be interesting. The general rule of thumb is turning a SP to a reliever takes off 0.80 points from ERA/FIP. Obviously some guys translate better than others. But just applying that rule, he has a career 4.50 FIP and had a 4.45 one last year. So that's a ~3.70 FIP, which is pretty damn good. However, like Sirspud said, Miller gets hammered, and the BABIP above shows it happens to both hands. Career 21.6% LD against and .333 BABIP. With a 5.50 career ERA and 4.84 ERA, applying that same rule to ERA is asking for a mid, maybe low, 4 ERA.
April 20, 201016 yr We have him for at least another two years before he hits free agency. There's still a lot of time for him to develop. If he stays in the minors all year this year and figures it out, all the better. He's at 2 years of service time, so we still have him for 3 to 4 years after this year. He'd need to stay in the minors for about half the season to not bump up from 2 years of service time to 3 years.
April 20, 201016 yr We have him for at least another two years before he hits free agency. There's still a lot of time for him to develop. If he stays in the minors all year this year and figures it out, all the better. About half of all pitchers that have breakout seasons have them at age 26+. Pitchers often figure it out at age 26 or 27. The fact that it feels like forever from 2 years ago doesn't actually make 2 years ago forever ago.
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