Senate unlikely to take up proposal, leader says

BTW, the feeling is that construction will begin and that they will keep returning to get funding next year. However, this year is not over yet and the chance is there.

It would cost more to move than wait 3-4 years to secure the extra funding. Remember that the funding would be nice to have in place at the start but they could seek it anytime during the next 30 years.

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Source?

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Logic.

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Logic?!?!

For starters, the use of the words "the feeling is..." implies that he has spoken to someone in the Senate (highly unlikely) or that he read somewhere that the Senate is "feeling" one way or another. If it were his "logic" then he should say "my feeling is", then we can qualify his answer knowing that it is probably less than 10% true.

However, starting a multi-million dollar construction project with a shortfall in funding is a disaster. That's like saying you got a "construction loan" to build your house for $500,000.00 and deciding to go forward with a project that you know will cost $750,000.00 with the hope that the bank will give you more money in the future, even though there are no guarantees. The real world just doesn't work that way.

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I was referring to the second part of Cape's post. I think it makes sense to go ahead and get the project started if the Marlins think they will cover the costs in case the state does not help to fund the project (they can go back and try to get more funding next year when the legislature will be much more Marlins-friendly) - and this alternative is cheaper than moving to a smaller city. I just think it is unwise financially to move to another city when you are only $30 million dollars short. I would bet that the move itself would cost the Marlins close to $30 million plus 1) they would have to wait until 2007 to move, which means they would get basically no attendance next year, and that will cost them some money, and 2) in 2007 they would have to play in a sub-par stadium that will not generate much revenue for them in comparison to DS (after all, every single city with a MLB caliber stadium already has a MLB team). The losses in those two years plus the actual costs of moving would easily add up to more than $30 million. Unless some city offers to pay them the money they would need to offset those losses or build a stadium for them for free in time for the 2008 season, I highly doubt the Marlins are moving. The only city I can see offering the Marlins such an attractive offer is Las Vegas, but their stadium is a Triple A stadium. In any case, the Marlins have no fans at all in Vegas - the A's are a safer bet to move to Vegas because it's already nearby and there are many A's fans in Nevada.