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prinmemito

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  • Birthday 06/16/1980

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  1. It's good to play the good teams. Playing the bad teams makes it harder to make waves in the standings by winning. Can't beat em in the regular season, won't be able to beat em in the playoffs. What about the Giants in '97 and '03? :lol Don't know, wasn't a fan that far back. I'm pretty sure we lost the season series to the Giants in both '97 and '03
  2. Middle of the pack payroll in 2013 should be higher than $80M. If that's what it is now, you have to factor in that it will increase by about 5% yearly, which brings us to $92M in 2013. Frisaro doesn't seem to put much thought into these articles.
  3. There's always a lot of talk whether participating in the HR derby has an adverse impact on players. When ARod pulled out a couple of years ago because of this reason I remember Jayson Starks destroyed him an column. I guess Jayson needs to apologize. http://www.pinstripe...http://www.pinstripealley.com/2010/7/12/1556053/does-the-home-run-derby-adversely?ref=fangraphs On the average players who participate in the HR derby fare worse in the 2nd half compared to how they fared in the 1st half. The average decline is .042 OPS points. Of the 79 participants, 57% declined the 2nd half. Now that's an interesting find. I would have thought it was the opposite. Everybody talks about a particular player that went a little south after the competition, but no one talks about the other guys in it. I mean, the decline could be on a number of things, like not getting the rest other players do because of all the festivities they partake in, wear and tear of a whole season, etc... But that's still an interesting tidbit. Makes me wonder.....How did the other 43% fare? We'd have to compare how these players did versus the rest of the All-Stars and all players. My hunch is we see somewhat of a regression to the mean for all All-Star players (including Derby participants). It is also possible that players in general see a decline in performance in the second half because they are worn out by then. I am not sure that the finding above is statistically significant. Now you're speaking my language. Everyone likes to throw out stats (which is fine, I'm an Economist and I love numbers, and part of baseball is the numbers), but they forget to put them in context or realize when we're talking about an individual's statsistics, they are statisically insignificant to the population (all of MLB). To me before we place a causal relationship to the Derby and 2nd half slides, we'd also have to compare the derby participants' 2nd half numbers to every other one of their seasons. Everyone talks about certain players being notorious "slow starters;" perhaps these 57% of derby participants are just "slow finnishers." Absolutely. I agree 100%. To take it even further, we can compare to other players (or All-Stars) that put up similar numbers in the first half.
  4. We'd have to compare how these players did versus the rest of the All-Stars and all players. My hunch is we see somewhat of a regression to the mean for all All-Star players (including Derby participants). It is also possible that players in general see a decline in performance in the second half because they are worn out by then. I am not sure that the finding above is statistically significant. Per the article: Before coming to a definitive conclusion, I needed to find out whether hitters in general declined in the second half (perhaps due to fatigue). They did not. The average major league OPS (from 2000-'09) entering the break was .760. The second half average was .759. (The exact difference is -.00092.). Not enough. It is better to compare those declines to those of All-Stars. In addition, I can't say that the differences are statistically significant. My hunch is they are not, but of course that's only a hunch.
  5. There's always a lot of talk whether participating in the HR derby has an adverse impact on players. When ARod pulled out a couple of years ago because of this reason I remember Jayson Starks destroyed him an column. I guess Jayson needs to apologize. http://www.pinstripealley.com/2010/7/12/1556053/does-the-home-run-derby-adversely?ref=fangraphs On the average players who participate in the HR derby fare worse in the 2nd half compared to how they fared in the 1st half. The average decline is .042 OPS points. Of the 79 participants, 57% declined the 2nd half. Now that's an interesting find. I would have thought it was the opposite. Everybody talks about a particular player that went a little south after the competition, but no one talks about the other guys in it. I mean, the decline could be on a number of things, like not getting the rest other players do because of all the festivities they partake in, wear and tear of a whole season, etc... But that's still an interesting tidbit. Makes me wonder.....How did the other 43% fare? We'd have to compare how these players did versus the rest of the All-Stars and all players. My hunch is we see somewhat of a regression to the mean for all All-Star players (including Derby participants). It is also possible that players in general see a decline in performance in the second half because they are worn out by then. I am not sure that the finding above is statistically significant.
  6. That is 100% idiotic. Lust mind boggling stupidity. :lol :lol :lol :lol :lol :lol awesome.
  7. The FO blows this season. There have been way too many head scratching moves this season.
  8. doesnt everyone remember during the offseason when leo was talking about developing and using his slider more.....i have yet to see that and tonight was definitely one of those nights that he could have used a third pitch. getting the first out or at least one of the first two men out is key during a save and when you dont do that you will have serious problems. The worst thing a reliever can do is get beat on his 3rd best pitch. Leo already tried his slider; Aaron Roward hit it out, and everyone complained. I'd prefer he throws his changeup, and it'd be nice if he mixed in his fastball more. A lot more, really. Tonight it seemed like he just started out throwing changeups every pitch. Sometimes he can get by with that because his changeup is really good when it's on, but that wasn't the case tonight. But there's really no need for him to throw sliders in tight games. Then the question this poses is Leo Nuñez a MLB closer? Is he better as a setup guy? I feel he doesn't have the icewater in his veins to be a closer, However does he even have the stuff? He's shown he's very capable this year (26 saves last year, as well). The question is...can we find about 2 or 3 more Leo Nunez in our bullpen right now? That'd be awesome. We'd be legit contenders, at the moment. And also...he does have the stuff. Leo Nunez has a fastball in the mid-90's, and amongst relievers, probably the best changeup in baseball, right now. http://www.fangraphs...http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=y&type=7&season=2010&month=0 Great post. I agree. By season's end I suspect he'll go something like 34/40 in save opportunities. His first blown save this year really wasn't his fault - he got called for a non existent balk.
  9. This is good for stability, but I am sure they did this to save money on Valentine for this year or decided Valentine was too expensive for them.
  10. If they didn't hire him bc of the $1MM buyout it will be way too funny.
  11. Can anyone say AMATEURS? The FO hasn't executed things well this season.
  12. This FO is a joke if it's true that Valentine is no longer in the running. How embarrassing. These guys are all over the place with decisions this season!
  13. Also, it looks to me that Loria is essentially trying to play GM. He's like a kid.
  14. This is how I feel. Beinfest gets a free pass constantly. If you watch the press conference from June 23rd, you see in Beinfest he looks worried. I think he could be in more trouble than some surmise. Loria will be royally p.o.'d if at years end we are say 10-12 games below .500 (which is what I think will happen, Valentine or not), and his chopping block may have Beinfest's name written on it. If Beinfest is worried, I think it shows how unreasonable Loria is. If the Marlins had a payroll of $60M, which is below average by the way, they could have added more than a few bullpen arms and perhaps a much better 4th or 5th starter. No doubt in my mind that with an extra good starter (replace Robertson), 3 more good bullpen arms, and a real bench we'd be at least 5-6 games better. In other words, Loria wants a championship on a shoe strong budget. That's not how it works. Just like in business, your investments are crucial, and Loria's not willing to invest any more. You get what you pay for.
  15. Seriously, he was cruising in the first 2 innings, WTF? He got unlucky with that bunt base hit and the grounder to Wes that didn't yield an out.
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