Peavy+Wells

 

All better

:lol The Phillies just dropped their pants and took a mean dump on a peice of one of your "greater than perez and maine" combos

 

Maine has allowed 8 ER in his last 10 innings of work.

 

 

I just don't see how anyone can expect these Mets starters to sustain their ridiculously low hit rates. It is completely unrealistic.

The Mets rotation is overperforming expectations so much that I simply don't see any way they could keep it up. Perez and Maine simply aren't that good. Period.

 

Yes, because it's inconceivable for two young pitchers to actually improve and learn how to pitch.

 

You are fully allowed to believe John Maine is a 3-ERA pitcher. Based almost solely on the fact that he strikes out 7.5 per 9, walks 3 per nine, his hit rate of 7.5 is almost entirely unsustainable, and should rise pretty soon. Once those hits start dropping, he's going to see his ERA rise dramatically.

 

Based on his career minor league numbers, yes I believe he is capable of holding a hit rate between 7.5 and 9. His big weakness as a prospect was control, and the lack of a secondary pitch. He was rushed along in Baltimore, and really got a chance to develop here under Rick Peterson. We aren't talking about a few months or even half a season that he's performed like this, it's now been 200+ innings at the ML Level.

 

http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/M/John-Maine.shtml

The Mets rotation is overperforming expectations so much that I simply don't see any way they could keep it up. Perez and Maine simply aren't that good. Period.

 

Yes, because it's inconceivable for two young pitchers to actually improve and learn how to pitch.

 

You are fully allowed to believe John Maine is a 3-ERA pitcher. Based almost solely on the fact that he strikes out 7.5 per 9, walks 3 per nine, his hit rate of 7.5 is almost entirely unsustainable, and should rise pretty soon. Once those hits start dropping, he's going to see his ERA rise dramatically.

 

Based on his career minor league numbers, yes I believe he is capable of holding a hit rate between 7.5 and 9. His big weakness as a prospect was control, and the lack of a secondary pitch. He was rushed along in Baltimore, and really got a chance to develop here under Rick Peterson. We aren't talking about a few months or even half a season that he's performed like this, it's now been 200+ innings at the ML Level.

 

http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/M/John-Maine.shtml

 

The difference in the minors is he was able to K 9.5 per 9 and walk less than 3, greatly impacting his hit rate. In the majors he is doing both with significantly less success and has been able to have the low hit rate. This says to me that eventually it's going to have to balance out.

 

His most comparable pitcher on Baseball-reference, Scott Sanders, illustrates this perfectly. Very similar K and Walk rates. His most successful season was the one where the hit rate was unsustainably low. What happens when the hit rate comes back to earth and the K and BB don't make up for the loss? He gets hammered and chased out of the league. I'm not saying Maine will have the same thing happen, but I don't see him being anything more than a 4+ era pitcher for the extent of his career.

Just to throw out a POSSIBLY great L/R duo.. Scott Kazmir and James Sheilds(10 runs in 3 1/3 today, the boy is skrewing up my fantasy league now)

Lowry + Cain/Lincecum

Padres got 3 hit by JD Durbin.

 

Nuff said.

 

Mets are now tied for the best record in the NL even with all their struggles and injuries.