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BtBS Power Rankings

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BtBS has their latest power rankings out based on expected runs scored, expected runs allowed and expected winning %.

http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2009/7/29/967505/btb-power-rankings-through-tuesday

 

The Marlins are currently ranked 24th and despite this are still in contention. The "league adjustment" skewes the rankins a bit so most of the bottom teams are NL. Regardless this shows the Marlins have been able to remain in contention despite not playing particularly well. Any thoughts?

They say themselves in other articles we outperform that because of our baserunning. Same with San Fran.

 

Still have to dislike our run differential though

how are we ranked so low?

 

 

Those rankings are pure statistical based off the amount of runs we should score based off wOBA and amount of runs our pitching should give up based of tRA and amount of runs our fielding should give up based off UZR.

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Interesting about the baserunning, I hadn't considered that part. I would've thought our baserunning to be a negative rather than a positive. Surprising to hear it actually benefits us.

Interesting about the baserunning, I hadn't considered that part. I would've thought our baserunning to be a negative rather than a positive. Surprising to hear it actually benefits us.

 

 

 

 

we're second in the league behind colorodo at plus 10 runs back during the asb

They say themselves in other articles we outperform that because of our baserunning. Same with San Fran.

 

Still have to dislike our run differential though

 

 

While this is far from scientific, and the run differential still isn't a great thing, I did a quick scan for our 5 biggest blowout games.

 

Wins: +8, 8, 7, 7, 7

Losses: -13, 11, 9, 8, 8

 

Those blowout are +37 and -49. Throw those out and we are roughly even, for whatever that's worth.

you'd have to apply that for every team, though. But yeah, run differitinal is more of a guideline than a fact. if didn't have starts from koronka/teddy/ect we'd be in better position, but again that goes for most teams

you'd have to apply that for every team, though. But yeah, run differitinal is more of a guideline than a fact. if didn't have starts from koronka/teddy/ect we'd be in better position, but again that goes for most teams

 

 

But the "average" team's biggest blowouts should equal their biggest wins, in theory.

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