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Remaining schedule and projections

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There are 95 games left in the season, and the schedule breaks down with 45 at home, 50 on the road. A third of our remaining home games come in one homestand in August (13 in 14 days). The road schedule is worse: 10 games in 11 days coming out of the All-Star break, 9 games in 8 days in early August because of the Colorado make-up doubleheader (giving us 19 road games out of 25 games in 26 days). Then in September 11 away games in 11 days. If there are any weather problems, a repeat of last season's scheduling circus is likely.

 

Projecting their current win percentage through season's end, the Fish are on course to finish 82-80 (.507 pct on 95 games = 48-47). If you project forward based on the home/road win percentages, it's 81-81 (26-19 home projected/21-29 away projected). They're going to have to make hay on that 13 game home stand, but they're really going to have to pick it up on the road to have any shot at the playoffs.

Its still a long season, you cant start predicting that far in advance. If you were doing projections in 2003 you would have said we would finish 15 under .500. Just look on the bright side, washington is still in first, not Atlanta.

marlins n eed to go something like 55-40 to make the playoffs

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Yeah, you're about right. They're 34-34 now. Count on 90 wins total for the season to get to the playoffs. So they'd need to go 56-38. That's still a lot to ask since they've only won 8 of their last 26 games...

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