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Rotoworld's Rule 5 Draft Preview


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The percentage is the percent chance rotoworld believes he'll be selected in the draft.

 

Lincoln Holdzkom - RHP Marlins - Age 24 - 10 percent

Returned late last season after undergoing Tommy John surgery in June 2004. Struck out 94 in 71 2/3 IP between two A-ball teams in 2003. Mid-90s fastball and curve could make him a quality reliever someday, but he's nowhere near ready right now.

 

Kevin Howard - 2B/3B Reds - Age 25 - 80 percent

Probably the best bet to go in the draft, Howard hit .296/.346/.428 for Double-A Chattanooga and then led the Arizona Fall League in hitting. He's a below average second baseman, so he might end up at third base for the long-term. The Marlins are one of the teams that could look at him as a cheap solution.

 

Trevor Hutchinson - RHP Marlins - Age 26 - 5 percent

Missed season after rotator cuff surgery. Hutchinson has been regarded as one of the Marlins' top pitching prospects since being drafted in 2003, but he doesn't have the kind of upside to make him worth stashing away.

 

Nic Ungs - RHP Marlins - Age 26 - 10 percent

7-5, 3.68 ERA, 123 H, 79/34 K/BB in 120 IP for Double-A Carolina. 3.24 ERA in six starts in the AFL. Ungs is just a middle reliever, but he's ready now.

 

Finally, a former Marlins prospect is available:

 

Bill Murphy - LHP Diamondbacks - Age 24 - 10 percent

Murphy was just available on waivers and went unclaimed, so there's little reason to think he'll be picked up now. Still, he's worth a look. 36 strikeouts and four walks in 27 1/3 innings in the Arizona Fall League.

 

Complete Preview

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The percentage is the percent chance rotoworld believes he'll be selected in the draft.

 

Lincoln Holdzkom - RHP Marlins - Age 24 - 10 percent

Returned late last season after undergoing Tommy John surgery in June 2004. Struck out 94 in 71 2/3 IP between two A-ball teams in 2003. Mid-90s fastball and curve could make him a quality reliever someday, but he's nowhere near ready right now.

 

Kevin Howard - 2B/3B Reds - Age 25 - 80 percent

Probably the best bet to go in the draft, Howard hit .296/.346/.428 for Double-A Chattanooga and then led the Arizona Fall League in hitting. He's a below average second baseman, so he might end up at third base for the long-term. The Marlins are one of the teams that could look at him as a cheap solution.

 

Trevor Hutchinson - RHP Marlins - Age 26 - 5 percent

Missed season after rotator cuff surgery. Hutchinson has been regarded as one of the Marlins' top pitching prospects since being drafted in 2003, but he doesn't have the kind of upside to make him worth stashing away.

 

Nic Ungs - RHP Marlins - Age 26 - 10 percent

7-5, 3.68 ERA, 123 H, 79/34 K/BB in 120 IP for Double-A Carolina. 3.24 ERA in six starts in the AFL. Ungs is just a middle reliever, but he's ready now.

 

Finally, a former Marlins prospect is available:

 

Bill Murphy - LHP Diamondbacks - Age 24 - 10 percent

Murphy was just available on waivers and went unclaimed, so there's little reason to think he'll be picked up now. Still, he's worth a look. 36 strikeouts and four walks in 27 1/3 innings in the Arizona Fall League.

 

Complete Preview

 

 

Im only worried about losing Lincoln Holdzkom who has nasty stuff who projects to be a set-up man or closer in the big League's. I think the he gets selected by a team like the Tigers but then gets returned cause like the article said he is still to raw and hasn't regained his velocity yet after TJ surgery which is why the Marlins didn't protect him. Ungs is another guy who I say gets picked but at 27 years of age and with his fringe stuff I wouldn't really call him a prospect. Same goes for Hutchinson who only has a good sinker and projects as a 5 starter at best.

 

Kevin howard is someone who is worth taking IMO. Solid power and OBP.

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If we do lose Holdzkom, I'd be surprised if he wasn't returned to us, and I think Ungs is probably taken by someone looking for that inexpensive 11th pitcher, because he'd make a fine mop-up man for the present with the potential for more down the road.

 

Ya, there is no way he is on the active roster. Coming off that surgery at that age, it'll take him some time before he starts progressing again.

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