I've heard some people theorizing that the weak economy will affect salary offers to free agents, and this certainly seems to make sense (and suck for manny, cc, et. al).
Is this going to affect arbitration numbers at all? This would seem fair: as ticket sales/revenues fall (people can't afford to buy them) --> players are worth less $$ to their respective teams --> they get paid less $.
And, in a business driven purely by profit, this is precisely how it would work. But will arbitration recognize this and adjust accordingly?
P.S. I hope the "poor economy" doesn't become an excuse for the FO to trade players who could help us contend now and into the future but will cost "too much." But, and it hurts me to say this, it might be reasonable - Example: Dan Uggla might normally be worth 4.5 mil, for example, to his team, but now may be "worth" only 4mil due to decreased merchandise sales, ticket sales, ad revenue (value added by his presence), etc. But if arbi says he's due 4.5, as he might be under more normal economic circumstances, then it makes even more sense to trade him. Poop.