Shamrock Posted September 16, 2004 Share Posted September 16, 2004 I have been assuming that it didn't matter who got elected, we would have a draft. How much longer can you keep the Natl Guard over there? There is no doubt in my mind that there will be a draft under Bush simply because Iraq is not the end of the line. There's Iran and Syria yet to come in my opinion. The neocons have been building the rhetoric up in a predicable way and there has been no sign from Bush that he's going to rethink the Bush doctrine. If Kerry really means that there will be no draft that means pulling out the troops next spring (my guess). I guess one could argue that the Iraqi elections scheduled for Jan will be the tipping point. If the elections are held and they are done in a reasonably fair manner, then the insurgency could calm down enabling us to turn things over to the Iraqis. If the elections don't happen or are perceived to be grossly unfair then most analysts have predicted that it will get really bad, in which case we would probably have to get out anyway. There is going to have to be some progress on the ground pretty soon if the elections are to go forward. So, to sum: Fact: The United States is now embroiled in a global war with a large-scale philosopical movement. Speculation: This could escalate into a war with prominent nation-states with strong militaries, including North Korea, Iran, and Syria. Fact: The United States military is not large enough to support this sort of large-scale war. Conclusion: A draft may be necessary to fight this war. All comments welcome. If I'm off-base tell me. If you think this plausible tell me. I want opinions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.