October 22, 200521 yr Maps have not yet been relieased. I will post them when they are released in under 5 minutes 000 WTNT45 KNHC 222053 TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM ALPHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005 A 1500Z TRMM COMPOSITE PASS INDICATED A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 16.3N 67.9W WITH A TIGHTLY CLUSTERED BANDING FEATURE. THE CYCLONE HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. 18Z DVORAK CLASSIFICATION FROM ALL THREE AGENCIES WERE 2.0/2.0...AND MOREOVER THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS CONTINUED TO IMPROVED SINCE THAT TIME. AT 18Z...A SHIP REPORT FROM C6FN4 HAD A 22 KNOT SOUTHWEST WIND ABOUT 30 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER WITH A 1007 MB PRESSURE. BASED UPON THE ABOVE INFORMATION THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ALPHA. ALPHA IS THE TWENTY-SECOND NAMED STORM THIS SEASON AND OVERALL MAKES THE 2005 HURRICANE SEASON THE MOST ACTIVE ON RECORD. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 305/13. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE STORM IS JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LAYER RIDGE. ALPHA IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS AROUND THE ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTHEAST...THEN RECURVE TO THE NORTHE AND EVENTUALLY NORTHEAST AHEAD OF WILMA AND THE LARGE DEEP-LAYER BAROCLINIC TROUGH FORMING OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST HAS ALPHA BEING ABSORBED BY THE TROUGH IN 96 HOURS IF NOT SOONER. ALPHA IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA. AFTER WEAKENING OVER THE MOUNTAINS SOME BRIEF RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO THE CYCLONE BEING ABSORBED INTO THE LARGER SYSTEM TO THE NORTHWEST. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIAL FLOODING OVER HISPANIOLA. FORECASTER MAINELLI/KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 17.0N 68.9W 35 KT 12HR VT 23/0600Z 18.3N 70.2W 40 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 23/1800Z 20.8N 71.8W 30 KT...OVER WATER 36HR VT 24/0600Z 23.6N 71.9W 40 KT 48HR VT 24/1800Z 28.5N 70.5W 40 KT 72HR VT 25/1800Z 38.0N 61.0W 35 KT 96HR VT 26/1800Z...ABSORBED
October 22, 200521 yr :plain My aunt, uncle and grandparents are going on a cruise today.. They are going right through this depression :plain
October 22, 200521 yr Author wll if the boat can go faster than 15MPH, they shouldnt have too much trouble getting out of the way..
October 22, 200521 yr Alpha is a stupid name for a storm. Well if someone would have told forecasters in the beginning of the season that they would run out of names, I'm sure they would have created a backup list.
October 22, 200521 yr A shift to the left and it could affect Florida lil bit :lol :lol :lol I seriously hope you are kidding.
October 22, 200521 yr A shift to the left and it could affect Florida lil bit :lol :lol :lol I seriously hope you are kidding. :mischief
October 22, 200521 yr Alpha is a stupid name for a storm. I agree. The WMO should reconsider using the letters U, X, Y, and Z. There are names with those letters, and just how often would they be used and possibly retired anyways? X, Y, and Z are used in the east Pacific. Instead of 6 names with these letters they have 2 each and alternate them every year, while recycling the other letters every 6 years. The Philliipines region has an auxiliary list from A-J. There are better solutions than going to the Greek Alphabet.
October 22, 200521 yr Author I like the greek alphabet, and X doesnt make sense... What if you have a Wilma and a Katrina at X? He Gone..
October 22, 200521 yr Does it really matter if they Greek alphabet is used? I would rather them spend their time working on the real problems the Hurricane Center has (funding, old and faulty equipment)
October 22, 200521 yr Does it really matter if they Greek alphabet is used? I would rather them spend their time working on the real problems the Hurricane Center has (funding, old and faulty equipment) The NHC does not create the Hurricane name list. The World Meteorological Organization does.
October 22, 200521 yr Does it really matter if they Greek alphabet is used? I would rather them spend their time working on the real problems the Hurricane Center has (funding, old and faulty equipment) The NHC does not create the Hurricane name list. The World Meteorological Organization does. :plain oh.
October 22, 200521 yr It's official. Tropical Storm Alpha has formed making it the first 22nd named storm in the tropical Atlantic! 2005 breaks another record!
October 22, 200521 yr It's official. Tropical Storm Alpha has formed making it the first 22nd named storm in the tropical Atlantic! 2005 breaks another record! HISTORY
October 22, 200521 yr Time to update the title of the thread Lefty! Well Mr. Timewrecker beat me to this one, actually. :mad
October 22, 200521 yr The official upgrade: WTNT45 KNHC 222053 TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM ALPHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005 A 1500Z TRMM COMPOSITE PASS INDICATED A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 16.3N 67.9W WITH A TIGHTLY CLUSTERED BANDING FEATURE. THE CYCLONE HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. 18Z DVORAK CLASSIFICATION FROM ALL THREE AGENCIES WERE 2.0/2.0...AND MOREOVER THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS CONTINUED TO IMPROVED SINCE THAT TIME. AT 18Z...A SHIP REPORT FROM C6FN4 HAD A 22 KNOT SOUTHWEST WIND ABOUT 30 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER WITH A 1007 MB PRESSURE. BASED UPON THE ABOVE INFORMATION THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ALPHA. ALPHA IS THE TWENTY-SECOND NAMED STORM THIS SEASON AND OVERALL MAKES THE 2005 HURRICANE SEASON THE MOST ACTIVE ON RECORD. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 305/13. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE STORM IS JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LAYER RIDGE. ALPHA IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS AROUND THE ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTHEAST...THEN RECURVE TO THE NORTHE AND EVENTUALLY NORTHEAST AHEAD OF WILMA AND THE LARGE DEEP-LAYER BAROCLINIC TROUGH FORMING OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST HAS ALPHA BEING ABSORBED BY THE TROUGH IN 96 HOURS IF NOT SOONER. ALPHA IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA. AFTER WEAKENING OVER THE MOUNTAINS SOME BRIEF RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO THE CYCLONE BEING ABSORBED INTO THE LARGER SYSTEM TO THE NORTHWEST. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIAL FLOODING OVER HISPANIOLA. FORECASTER MAINELLI/KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 17.0N 68.9W 35 KT 12HR VT 23/0600Z 18.3N 70.2W 40 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 23/1800Z 20.8N 71.8W 30 KT...OVER WATER 36HR VT 24/0600Z 23.6N 71.9W 40 KT 48HR VT 24/1800Z 28.5N 70.5W 40 KT 72HR VT 25/1800Z 38.0N 61.0W 35 KT 96HR VT 26/1800Z...ABSORBED $$ The forecast says it will be short lived and will eventually be absorbed into Wilma. Nevertheless, Alpha has just made history.
October 22, 200521 yr It's official. Tropical Storm Alpha has formed making it the first 22nd named storm in the tropical Atlantic! 2005 breaks another record! HISTORY *pumps fist*
October 22, 200521 yr Looks like Wilma and Alpha will collide in the Atlantic to produce a Perfect Storm like effect.
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