September 8, 200520 yr It's really too bad D-Train had the stretch of 3 terrible games in a row.. if we could just whipe those out, he'd be having some sort of special season. He'd be a shoe-in for the CY. "Those" 3 games: 0-3, 13 IP, 15.90 ERA Minus "those" 3 games: 20-5, 1.58 ERA
September 8, 200520 yr Even with those games, he's still got good numbers. I think it's more of a shame that he didn't win the Giants game (1-0) or that he got a N.D. against the Angels. Turn those into wins, and he's 22-7 and he's for certain the Cy Young winner.
September 8, 200520 yr All it would take is Carpenter getting roughed up in 2 or 3 of his remaining starts, and Willis could easily overtake him.
September 8, 200520 yr Author yeah true but he is still having a great year. 935294[/snapback] Ya think??
September 8, 200520 yr I'm OK with his struggles; this is only his 2nd full year. He has exceeded all expectations
September 8, 200520 yr He would be the Cy Young favorite if he hadn't hit the wall for those three games. But, this could end up being good for him and the team. Overcoming adversity builds character and confidence. If we make the playoffs, nothing will faze him.
September 8, 200520 yr Author He would be the Cy Young favorite if he hadn't hit the wall for those three games. But, this could end up being good for him and the team. Overcoming adversity builds character and confidence. 935313[/snapback] :thumbup
September 8, 200520 yr He could have had at least 2 more wins if it weren't for lack of run support. 935309[/snapback] So would his competitors. The top ten NL SPs in ERA and their run support: 2. Carpenter 5.20 5. Willis 5.03 8. Martinez 5.03 10. Zambrano 4.64 9. Smoltz 4.59 3. Pettitte 4.52 7. Peavy 4.47 6. Oswalt 4.08 4. Patterson 3.96 1. Clemens 3.57
September 8, 200520 yr He could have had at least 2 more wins if it weren't for lack of run support. 935309[/snapback] So would his competitors. The top ten NL SPs in ERA and their run support: 2. Carpenter 5.20 5. Willis 5.03 8. Martinez 5.03 10. Zambrano 4.64 9. Smoltz 4.59 3. Pettitte 4.52 7. Peavy 4.47 6. Oswalt 4.08 4. Patterson 3.96 1. Clemens 3.57 935342[/snapback] That stat was probably inflated somewhat for Willis by last night's scoring. A better indicator would provide us with a spread of the scoring. You know, like mean, median, standard deviation, etc.
September 8, 200520 yr He could have had at least 2 more wins if it weren't for lack of run support. 935309[/snapback] So would his competitors. The top ten NL SPs in ERA and their run support: 2. Carpenter 5.20 5. Willis 5.03 8. Martinez 5.03 10. Zambrano 4.64 9. Smoltz 4.59 3. Pettitte 4.52 7. Peavy 4.47 6. Oswalt 4.08 4. Patterson 3.96 1. Clemens 3.57 935342[/snapback] Is that the runs the pitcher gets while on the mound or the total number of runs scored in the game?
September 8, 200520 yr Runs scored total. D-Train has had his fair share of tough losses, but probably not much more than any one else or enough to give him extra points for it.
September 8, 200520 yr It's Carpenter's award to lose. He only has 4 less losses, and his ERA isn't 'that' much better. D Train has allowed less HR, and has one more shutout than Carp. D Train also pitches for a team that ranks very low in run scoring. Carp's team is kinda good, I think :whistle There are 4 starts left (maybe 5). If D Train can go undefeated (not even winning all, just not losing), then he's got a shot. For example, if Carp loses 2 of the next 3, and his ERA goes up a bit, then this is what we 'could' be looking at: Carp 20-6, 2.6 (?) ERA Willis 22-8 2.3 (?) ERA. It's not over!!!
September 9, 200520 yr A pitcher can have a dominant, unbelievable season without getting the CY. D-Train missing the CY is far from tragic.
September 9, 200520 yr Author A pitcher can have a dominant, unbelievable season without getting the CY. 936299[/snapback] Obviously Clemens, Carpenter, DTrain... All 3 are having ridiculous years. I'm not downplaying his season, just pointing out how great he's been minus those 3 starts.
September 9, 200520 yr He may not win it this year, but Dontrelle Willis has a good chance of becoming a Cy Young award winner sometime in his career. :mischief
September 9, 200520 yr It's really too bad D-Train had the stretch of 3 terrible games in a row.. if we could just whipe those out, he'd be having some sort of special season. He'd be a shoe-in for the CY. "Those" 3 games: 0-3, 13 IP, 15.90 ERA Minus "those" 3 games: 20-5, 1.58 ERA 935288[/snapback] if it wasnt for those 3 games he'd be having a Carpenter type season
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