Residents of South Florida and the rest of the hurricane zone are likely to endure another above-average season this year, but it probably will not be as hyperactive as last year's hurricane season, a university forecasting team announced Tuesday.

 

 

 

 

Experts at Colorado State University predicted 17 named tropical storms that develop into nine hurricanes, five of which grow into major hurricanes with winds above 110 mph.

 

 

 

 

Last year produced a record 27 named storms that evolved into 15 hurricanes, seven of them major. It was the most destructive hurricane season in American history.

 

 

 

 

Long-term averages are 9.6 named storms, 5.9 hurricanes and 2.3 intense hurricanes per year.

 

''Even though we expect to see the current active period of Atlantic major hurricane activity to continue for another 15 to 20 years, it is statistically unlikely that the coming 2006-2007 hurricane seasons or the seasons that follow will have the number of major hurricane U.S. landfall events as we have seen in 2004-2005,'' Colorado State Professor William Gray said in a prepared statement.

 

 

 

 

The six-month season begins June 1.

 

 

 

LINK

Last year produced a record 27 named storms that evolved into 15 hurricanes, seven of them major. It was the most destructive hurricane season in American history.

 

 

Just for reference, last years April 1 prediction was 13 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 intense hurricanes. Why anyone even gives these forecasts any notice is beyond me (I dont mean the poster of this thread, but the public in general). Everyone knows were in an active part of the cycle, but to try to predict the number of storms is a crapshoot.

Last year produced a record 27 named storms that evolved into 15 hurricanes, seven of them major. It was the most destructive hurricane season in American history.

 

 

Just for reference, last years April 1 prediction was 13 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 intense hurricanes. Why anyone even gives these forecasts any notice is beyond me (I dont mean the poster of this thread, but the public in general). Everyone knows were in an active part of the cycle, but to try to predict the number of storms is a crapshoot.

 

 

its kind of like picking George Mason advaning to the Final Four

Damn that sucks, i dont mind too much though, we got a whole house generator installed!

I am really started to get sick of these Hurricanes. But it's part of living in paradise, I guess.

Ive heard that the atlantic coast is more susceptible this year. Though ross is probably right in that it's hard to predict. But how weird would it be that two years ago, Florida got demolished, last year the gulf coast got demolished, and then this year, the atlantic coast gets demolished.

The next 5-10 years will likely be high in activity. This isn't new news, they've been saying this since halfway through last hurricane season.

Well, I should thank my lucky stars I'm at Pitt and away from any place associated with hurricanes.

I'm okay as long as Gainesville isn't hit. If Gainesville is hit, some people are seriously screwed. So many frame houses and trees that are meant to survive hurricanes.

any sort of hurricane towards Virginia...I'm out in a sniff.....ain't waitin till the day before that's for damn sure.

I would put money that Tally gets a hit or near hit by a cat 2+ this season. Katrina was originally headed there before it was taken out into the Gulf.

i got my anti-hurricane umbrella ready to go

I would put money that Tally gets a hit or near hit by a cat 2+ this season. Katrina was originally headed there before it was taken out into the Gulf.

 

I wouldn't bet on it. The Bermuda High is not as strong as last year. More geared for Mid-Atlantic Coast strikes than anything.

 

 

Nothing to worry about this year. If a hurricane comes so be it. Nothing we can do except prepare. Which is a lot more than we can do in case of Tornadoes or an earthquake.

I would put money that Tally gets a hit or near hit by a cat 2+ this season. Katrina was originally headed there before it was taken out into the Gulf.

 

but it probably will not be as hyperactive as last year's hurricane season, a university forecasting team announced Tuesday.

 

 

 

Wow, that is really a stretch to come up with that prediction....being that it never happened before in over 100 years. :blink:

any sort of hurricane towards Virginia...I'm out in a sniff.....ain't waitin till the day before that's for damn sure.

 

pfft.....wimp

I would put money that Tally gets a hit or near hit by a cat 2+ this season. Katrina was originally headed there before it was taken out into the Gulf.

 

It's not a coincidence that mb's relative hurricane expert is making the trek to FSU next year. The hurricanes have just been stalling for time so they can test your hurricane preparedness once they strike.

I would put money that Tally gets a hit or near hit by a cat 2+ this season. Katrina was originally headed there before it was taken out into the Gulf.

 

It's not a coincidence that mb's relative hurricane expert is making the trek to FSU next year. The hurricanes have just been stalling for time so they can test your hurricane preparedness once they strike. Excuse me but I am the hurricane expert here. :mischief

I would put money that Tally gets a hit or near hit by a cat 2+ this season. Katrina was originally headed there before it was taken out into the Gulf.

 

It's not a coincidence that mb's relative hurricane expert is making the trek to FSU next year. The hurricanes have just been stalling for time so they can test your hurricane preparedness once they strike. Excuse me but I am the hurricane expert here. :mischief

:thumbup

 

:mischief

Excuse me but I am the hurricane expert here. :mischief

 

:batman :stare

Excuse me but I am the hurricane expert here. :mischief

 

:batman :stare

 

:plain

Excuse me but I am the hurricane expert here. :mischief

 

:batman :stare

 

:plain

 

:plain :plain

Ugh, the more hurricanes, the more hurricane douches we have to deal with.

Ugh, the more hurricanes, the more hurricane douches we have to deal with.

I believe one of the senators from Louisiana is threatening to block any of Bush's political appointments until a comprehensive aid package is sent to the hurricane-ravaged areas of Louisiana and Mississippi. I don't have an article for this though.