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AJ in 2004

Featured Replies

just instead of going 7-8-9 innings like he did in the past now he will be a 5-6 inning pitcher. and thats not bad...

And that's just for 2004.

 

He'll get back to his 7-9 IP status in 2005.

just instead of going 7-8-9 innings like he did in the past now he will be a 5-6 inning pitcher. and thats not bad...

And that's just for 2004.

 

He'll get back to his 7-9 IP status in 2005. exactly

just instead of going 7-8-9 innings like he did in the past now he will be a 5-6 inning pitcher. and thats not bad...

And that's just for 2004.

 

He'll get back to his 7-9 IP status in 2005. josh again stating the obvious. exactly

just instead of going 7-8-9 innings like he did in the past now he will be a 5-6 inning pitcher. and thats not bad...

And that's just for 2004.

 

He'll get back to his 7-9 IP status in 2005. josh again stating the obvious. Actually I wasn't making a statement.

 

I was trying to make sure that was what KJC meant, because he made it sound as if AJ would no longer be a horse, as in a couple years.

 

I was trying to clearify that he meant only for 2004.

I would hope we would keep looking for a good #5 starter....and wouldn't mind seeing us make another move for Redman. Better to give AJ time to strengthen....perhaps start him in the pen until he's ready for a full time starting role.

nobody who knows anything about the TJ surgery would expect a player to be a "horse" in the first year back.

 

again to simplify incase Wild Card confused anyone:

 

judging by his projected return date of late may early june ( knowing AJ he will be ready in april ) lets just say 20 starts for the 04 season and using my goal of 135 innings that would average out to over 6 innings per start as long as he manages his pitch counts and has no setbacks he will gain the strength for a great 2005.

12-9 With a 3.48 ERA. 175 K's (since he wont be pitching for the first 2 months).

The way the Marlins use their starters, the most a starter will get in the course of a seaon is 32-35 starts. If AJ misses 2 months, you're down to 20-23 starts. There is no way he is getting 21 decisions in 23 starts. There is no way he is joining the rotation on June 1st. And there's no way he's going to match his career best season in his first year back from Tommy John surgery. At least try to be a little tiny bit realistic.

Let's see. He wouldn't have pitched a game in over a year. And would have a strict pitch count to follow. More than any other pitcher on the staff he will have to rely on the bullpen, which I feel is better than last December's.

 

I expect a great ERA. High 2's, low 3's. A warped WHIP close to 1.5. And wins and losses in single digits.

Here's another tidbit from the Sun-Sentinel:

 

June 1 is Burnett's target date, but don't be surprised to see him on the mound sooner. A recent follow-up visit with Dr. James Andrews left the orthopedic surgeon astonished at the strength of the ligament.

 

I would still hope we take it easy with him, and not try to rush his return. He will be too valuable long term to screw this up.

We don't need A.J. to be a stud in 2004 though it would be nice. Pavano seems capable of being our # 3 starter. That means Willis and AJ/whoever we have holding the # 5 slot need to match the results of Willis and Pavano of last season.

 

Is 26-19 3.85 ERA possible from Willis and AJ(and the AJ fill-ins)?

We don't need A.J. to be a stud in 2004 though it would be nice. Pavano seems capable of being our # 3 starter. That means Willis and AJ/whoever we have holding the # 5 slot need to match the results of Willis and Pavano of last season.

 

Is 26-19 3.85 ERA possible from Willis and AJ(and the AJ fill-ins)?

Totally agree.

 

Next year we just need AJ to get back into the groove. He can be a stud in 2005. :thumbup

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