August 5, 20241 yr Ever since the Luis Arraez trade, I have been keeping an eye on the players we got in return. Almost right away, the trade looked pretty bad. Arraez nearly hit .400 in May with the Padres and the returning prospects underwhelmed. The jury will be out on this trade until we see what we've got in Dillon Head, but with him out the rest of the year, we have to look at the other guys. Woo-Suk Go has been mediocre, and Nathan Martorella has been awful. And on the face of it, Marsee has looked pretty mediocre too, but I noticed some interesting tidbits when I looked deeper into his numbers. Right off the bat, he's under the Mendoza line, hitting .191, and has a meager .664 OPS. However, I noticed that he has 29 stolen bases with only 3 caught stealings in his 3 months at Pensacola. This is largely due to his great walk rate (15.7%, more walks than hits) leading to a pretty good .355 OPB. Of course the slugging isn't great, but his wRC+ is a surprising 109 at Pensacola right now! That would mean, when adjusted by park, he is hitting 9% better than the average AA guy. And get this- his BABIP is just .236, which is like 70-80 points below his career norm. If he is getting bad BABIP luck and is still 9% above league average, then just imagine what it will be when his BABIP returns to the norm. Might have a wRC+ in the 120-130 range (around what it was in his prior seasons). To top that off, wRC+ does not include baserunning. So you are talking above average hitting with plus speed and, if MLB Pipeline scouting grades are accurate, plus defense. Might be too early to write this guy off.
August 5, 20241 yr I like these kind of players rather than the 5 tool guys who aren’t great at any one area and never end up doing much. I still prefer quality of quantity, yet we didn’t get either of those. Not complaining. Nice post!!
August 5, 20241 yr Author Gotta say. A guy with a good OBP because he walks more than he gets hits is exactly the type of player that I imagine the Rays get a lot of.
August 5, 20241 yr Marsee has been hitting a little better lately but he has really had a brutal year. Love the fact that he gets on base but don't think the hit tool is ever going to be there enough to make an impact. He reminds me a lot of J.D. Orr who came out of Wright St. with Peyton Burdick. Looked great at the lower levels then ran into a wall once he stepped up to the upper minors. The Marlins recently cleaned house in the minors so the opportunity should be there for guys like Marsee to prove they belong. He's a classic moneyball player and Xavier Edwards is proving that can be a huge asset if he somehow he can adjust his approach. Every time I see Marsee I think of the line, "he gets on base Billy".
August 6, 20241 yr Just now, mrchainsaw said: I look forward to him helping the team in 2027 Probably mid 2025 really.
August 6, 20241 yr 1 hour ago, mrchainsaw said: I look forward to him helping the team in 2027 I'm sure he'll help as a call up for whomever was traded off to jumpstart the next rebuild that year.
August 30, 20241 yr Author Been a little while since I posed thread, and he went into a slump after I did so I will stop talking about him, but Marsee just got called up to AAA and went 2-5 in his debut last night.
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