August 1, 200619 yr Maximum sustained winds have been increased to 60 mph. Seriously? *takes cover early*
August 1, 200619 yr Maximum sustained winds have been increased to 60 mph. Seriously? *takes cover early* 60 ALREADY!/? WOW! I thought this guy was supposed to be a TS for a week
August 1, 200619 yr So basically this is the exact opposite of what I heard on the 11pm news last night. :confused
August 1, 200619 yr Well whoever said it was going to dissipate was WRONG. It's going to be a hurricane and I'm going to to be in NORTH CAROLINA, hoezes.
August 1, 200619 yr Well whoever said it was going to dissipate was WRONG. I was just relaying what the National Hurricane Center said in its discussion last night about their forecast and the global models, so I guess they were the wrong ones.
August 1, 200619 yr Well whoever said it was going to dissipate was WRONG. I was just relaying what the National Hurricane Center said in its discussion last night about their forecast and the global models, so I guess they were the wrong ones. Ya, that's what I was referring to. Obviously none of us are professionals in the biz, so we go by what the pros say. d
August 1, 200619 yr I'm supposed to be arriving on Sunday, but that ain't happening if this storm is anywhere near South Florida.
August 2, 200619 yr Author We should have Hurricane Chris by tonight and if it does what I think it'll do, we may have some big time deepening tomorrow to possible High end Cat 2.
August 2, 200619 yr We should have Hurricane Chris by tonight and if it does what I think it'll do, we may have some big time deepening tomorrow to possible High end Cat 2. I have noticed a trend of the projected path moving further north in the short run. It doesnt even seem like the storm going over Hispanola, which was being discussed last night, is even in the possible range now. Do you think the entire path will be further north in the long run or will it turn more west down the road?
August 2, 200619 yr Author We should have Hurricane Chris by tonight and if it does what I think it'll do, we may have some big time deepening tomorrow to possible High end Cat 2. I have noticed a trend of the projected path moving further north in the short run. It doesnt even seem like the storm going over Hispanola, which was being discussed last night, is even in the possible range now. Do you think the entire path will be further north in the long run or will it turn more west down the road? I think it will be further north. The models just aren't picking Chris up well because it is so small. We should know better when the Gulfstream Jet gets out there today. Then the models will have some real solid atmospheric info. But with the Upper level low over the Bahamas quickly retrograding west, it'll provide a really good outflow channel for Chris.
August 2, 200619 yr Well, this model does not make it look that promising for SoFla: NOGAPS Of course, the spaghetti models are spread out, but most bring it to our general neighborhood. The GFDL that the NHC relies so heavily on has a better outlook for us: GFDL
August 2, 200619 yr Well this is probably a week off.. but once it is in the gulf, could this thig head for Louisiana?
August 2, 200619 yr Author Well this is probably a week off.. but once it is in the gulf, could this thig head for Louisiana? It could head anywhere from the Panhandle to eastern Mexico. WAY too early to speculate on that matter.
August 2, 200619 yr The only models I see that go out that far have it going west toward Texas or Mexico, but not making that northward turn. Of course, the models usually change on a regular basis due to atmospheric data changes.
August 2, 200619 yr Author The only models I see that go out that far have it going west toward Texas or Mexico, but not making that northward turn. Of course, the models usually change on a regular basis due to atmospheric data changes. Until Chris grows and the Gulfstream Jet get out there, the models will have trouble.
August 2, 200619 yr Um, I'm flying from Toronto to Miami on Monday at like midday. What do you guys think about that?
August 2, 200619 yr Not looking good for the Keys, but way to early to know, the models do not agree, hoping it heads more west, no models take it north of Ft. Pierce
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