TimeWrecker Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 EDIT: ALL THREE MAPS AUTO UPDATE, ARE CURRENT. NO NEED TO POST AGAIN. USE FOR REFERENCE ON THE STORM Here we are, early July, and FL was just hit by Hurricane Dennis, we could be on the ride early. This storm will be Tropical Storm Emily by tomorrow, and is headed our way. This afternoon i saw the little circle with a tail on the edge of the atlantic map while looking at Dennis... i was thinking... could that... i hope not... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenny Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 wow, another one... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hollyberry Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 Oh Geez When do they think it might hit Florida? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dodge Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 Man, I wish that they'd spare you guys down there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimeWrecker Posted July 11, 2005 Author Share Posted July 11, 2005 Man, I wish that they'd spare you guys down there. 850262[/snapback] ... can i room w/ you foor 2 weeks? heh... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Moneyball Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 Hopefully one of those troughs takes this SOB. I can't remember the last time that happened. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimeWrecker Posted July 11, 2005 Author Share Posted July 11, 2005 Hopefully one of those troughs takes this SOB. I can't remember the last time that happened. 850265[/snapback] yeah! GO TROUGHS!!!! (sp?) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hollyberry Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 *sigh* I am not ready for another hurricane.. The Marlins will be rained out :plain Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Everlong204 Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 any predictions on where it might hit yet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dodge Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 any predictions on where it might hit yet 850271[/snapback] Check out the map Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hollyberry Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 any predictions on where it might hit yet 850271[/snapback] Check out the map 850278[/snapback] Yea but is it going to go to North Florida or South Fla? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dodge Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 any predictions on where it might hit yet 850271[/snapback] Check out the map 850278[/snapback] Yea but is it going to go to North Florida or South Fla? 850280[/snapback] Nobody knows. At this point it's got a good chance at anywhere between Texas and Virginia. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PBMarlin Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 Damn. That's going to be in the neighborhood just about the time I'm getting ready to leave on my baseball road trip. :mad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapeFish Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 Just when I thought I could sleep easy and Hurricane Warning 2005 could cool off on the hits...boom.....TD #5 is knocking. We had almost 9,000 hits during Dennis and we will continue to keep the latest from all of our sources including the National Hurricane Center, the Accuweather Hurricane Center, The Weather Channel, and the National Weather Service. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimeWrecker Posted July 11, 2005 Author Share Posted July 11, 2005 so you wont be here.. thats a GOOD thing... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MiRi Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 Oh yay.... I am supposed to go to Orlando on Friday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimeWrecker Posted July 11, 2005 Author Share Posted July 11, 2005 it probably wont make landfall for a week and a day... you should be fine.. enjoy disney! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMFan4Life7 Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 There better not be ANY storms when I am in Tortola... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beinfest4Prez Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 This TD is possibly headed anywhere on the east coast. But, the NHC and Joe Bastardi are forecasting that after TD 5 reaches Puerto Rico/Hispanola, the High Pressure Ridge that kept Dennis from South Florida is to grow in strength and steer it more westerly towards possibly Florida. But, thats if it survives Hispanola where many a hurricane have gone to die. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PBMarlin Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 Expected to go through Puerto Rico as a cat 1 hurricane. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Fritz Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 Ugh, I'm gonna get more fear mongering from the news outlets. AWESOME! :plain Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PBMarlin Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 This TD is possibly headed anywhere on the east coast. But, the NHC and Joe Bastardi are forecasting that after TD 5 reaches Puerto Rico/Hispanola, the High Pressure Ridge that kept Dennis from South Florida is to grow in strength and steer it more westerly towards possibly Florida. But, thats if it survives Hispanola where many a hurricane have gone to die. 850307[/snapback] Yes. It is forecast to go north of Hispaniola and if so could threaten S. Fla. It's several days out so we just need to keep our eye on it. It wouldn't be a bad idea to make sure all your hurricane supplies are up to date. It's that time of year, and this year is projected to be another busy one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PBMarlin Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 000 WTNT45 KNHC 110310 TCDAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 CONVENTIONAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 1280 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KT IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB. SINCE THE 00Z SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS...A SMALL BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CENTER...WHICH FURTHER SUPPORTS AT LEAST 25-KT INTENSITY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/10. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT ON A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 24-36 HOURS...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AFTER THAT. THE GFDL...GFS...NOGAPS...AND MEDIUM BAM MODELS TAKE THE CYCLONE ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES IN 84 TO 96 HOURS TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BY DAY 5... THE RIDGE BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES IS FORECAST TO BUILD BACK IN AND POSSIBLY TURN THE CYCLONE ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK OVER OR NEAR PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINCIAN REPUBLIC. THE DEPRESSION...WHILE WELL-DEFINED AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT...IS EMBEDDED WITHIN ONLY A MODERATELY MOIST ENVIRONMENT AS NOTED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. AS SUCH...OCCASIONAL INTRUSIONS OF DRY AIR WILL BRIEFLY WEAKEN THE CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER...WHICH SHOULD ONLY ALLOW FOR SLOW INTENSIFICATION TO OCCUR FOR THE FIRST 48 HOURS OR SO. AFTER THAT...THE COMBINATION OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR...NEAR 29C SSTS...AND AN INCREASINGLY MORE MOIST ENVIRONMENT SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME MODEST INTENSIFICATION TO OCCUR. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE SHIPS MODEL...BUT NOT NEARLY AS ROBUST AS THE GFDL MODEL...WHICH BRINGS THE CYCLONE UP TO 112 KT IN 120 HOURS OR SO. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0300Z 10.8N 42.9W 25 KT 12HR VT 11/1200Z 11.0N 44.5W 30 KT 24HR VT 12/0000Z 11.5N 46.7W 35 KT 36HR VT 12/1200Z 12.1N 49.0W 40 KT 48HR VT 13/0000Z 12.8N 51.7W 50 KT 72HR VT 14/0000Z 14.5N 57.5W 60 KT 96HR VT 15/0000Z 16.5N 63.5W 70 KT 120HR VT 16/0000Z 19.5N 69.0W 75 KT $$ Hmmm. There's a number of factors here that make this depression one worth watching. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeyFan Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 *sigh* I am not ready for another hurricane.. The Marlins will be rained out :plain 850267[/snapback] *adds to the "You know you're a Marlins fan when..." thread* Stupid crap. I miss the beach!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RossInfoMan Posted July 11, 2005 Share Posted July 11, 2005 *sigh* I am not ready for another hurricane.. The Marlins will be rained out :plain 850267[/snapback] Actually, the Marlins dont play at home again for about two weeks (July 26). The way this is going, we could be on Hurricane Wilma by then. :confused Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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