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Top 5: Why the Marlins will win the NL East

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Saw this on the Sporting News website:

Top 5: Why the Marlins will win the NL East

Posted: July 13, 2005

 

By Conor Nicholl

Sporting News

 

 

Statistical reasons the Marlins should win the NL East:

 

24-10 -- The Nationals' record in one-run games. Statheads contend that a measure of luck is involved in having that much success in one-run games. If that's the case, the Nationals are headed for some one-run losses and the Marlins will improve on their 10-16 mark.

 

3.36 -- Four Marlins starters have an ERA under 3.36, a claim no other team in baseball can make. The Fish's Fab Four: Dontrelle Willis (2.39), Brian Moehler (3.16), A.J. Burnett (3.33) and Josh Beckett (3.35).

 

1.42 -- The ERA of Marlins closer Todd Jones. He has not received the recognition of the Nationals' Chad Cordero, but Jones is having the kind of season a team needs from its closer in order to win a division.

 

.270 -- The Marlins' batting average with runners in scoring position is better than the Nationals', by 15 points.

 

.750 -- The Marlins' on-base plus slugging percentage is 25 points higher than the Nationals'.

yeah the stats are there on paper. its just mind boggling why its not working out. right now ill take any good ray of sunshine on this team

And two why we won't:

 

25-22 at home.

 

44-42 overall.

 

You can get numbers to tell you anything; there's a reason the games aren't played on paper.

I love the simplicity of the comments from Craig Minervini's interview with Admin Beinfest this week...something like this...

 

basically the numbers are all there...but it seems like 2 + 2 = 3...things just arent adding up...

 

beautiful line

Don't they do one of these for every team, or am I thinking of something else?

Don't they do one of these for every team, or am I thinking of something else?

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I guess it is kind of safe if they do. That way when any team wins, they can go back and quote themselves showing that the knew all along.

i can do one for the Rays...

 

Top 5 Reasons Why the Tampa Bay Devil Rays will win the AL East...

 

1. theyve never had a winning season which means after all this time, "they're due" as they say...so if theyre set to have a winning season, that means theyre gonna have to go on an INCREDIBLE run in the second half...

 

2. The Yankees are cracking overall so they wont win

 

3. The Red Sox got chemistry issues so theyll slip ASAP, plus theyre due for another 86 years of bad luck

 

4. The Orioles played their best baseball the first three months, now theyre winding down

 

5. The Blue Jays are always struggling and if the Rays wont take last place it has to be Toronto...besides the Jays just seem to breaking apart (gooched!...sorry Doc)

 

Thus...Tampa Bay Devil Rays, 2005 American League East Division Winners

 

...yeah baby!!! :thumbup

 

...good luck with whoever does Colorado...anyone want a shot at Kansas City?

If this team gets on a little streak of say 4-5 games watch out. We are still the best team in the division and that's without Mike Lowell being Mike Lowell.

TOP FIVE REASONS WHY THE ATLANTA BRAVES WILL NOT WIN THE NL EAST:

 

(1) 5 Players to be injured in tragic dancing accident.

 

(2) Andruw Jones leaves team to resume role of kid in the wheelchair on Malcolm in the Middle.

 

(3) Julio Franco leaves baseball to pursue a career in women's tennis.

 

(4) Chipper Jones not feeling too chipper.

 

(5) The Florida Marlins.

If you look a little further into the numbers you'd see there's a problem with the Marlins getting on base early during innings and some baserunning/coaching problems.

The funny about this Top Five Reason article is that the dont mention those pesky, annoying Braves... you can be sure that they will be in it...

 

The article makes complete sense...but can it actually happen? That is yet to be seen....

they shouldn't be comparing us to the nationals...

 

it's the braves i'm worried about. 428 runs scored to 348 runs allowed is absurd.

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