July 24, 201113 yr What I like even more about his hot streak is that it isn't when the rosters expand at towards the end of the season which means he's doing it against legit pitching. Maybin was notorious for playing well at the end of the season against call-ups which led many folks to believe he was going to be great the following year. Bonifacio's pitch recognition is a lot better as well and although he still doesn't really catch up to 95mph fastballs he can foul enough off until he gets something to hit or take a walk it seems. i think the best thing for Boner is that McKeon really took the reigns off him and told him to let loose all that energy on the basepaths and if you get thrown out or whatever then oh well he'll (meaning McKeon) will take the responsibility. This has not only helped with his stolen bases but I think in general his entire outlook and mindset. I never understood why Edwin wouldn't have him stealing the moment he got on first base.
July 24, 201113 yr Yes Bonifacio has been playing well as of late. Does this deserve it's own thread with a daft, misleading thread title? Not really....
July 24, 201113 yr Not even the best in Marlins history, but he is having a hot streak that places him among the Marlins best, keep it up Boni!
July 24, 201113 yr I'm just praying he doesn't return to old bonerface next season when he'll probably win a starting job.
July 24, 201113 yr i hope he continues to play this well, but honestly I don't think he'll be able to keep it up throughout a whole season. although the way he's playing right now he reminds me of chone figgins (while with the angels)
July 24, 201113 yr Not even the best in Marlins history, but he is having a hot streak that places him among the Marlins best, keep it up Boni! Aside from the fact that he's only done this for ~half a season, Hanley was a better leadoff hitter, Castillo was a better leadoff hitter, and JP was a damn good leadoff hitter.
July 24, 201113 yr I don't think he'll be able to keep it up Jack freed him from being worried about getting caught stealing, and he's since stolen what? 16 of 17? Something like that. They've gotten him (for the most part) to stop swinging at balls out of the zone or worrying about hitting with two strikes. When he's not putting the ball on the ground for a hit, he slaps balls for singles or takes a walk. Once in a rare while does he hit anything over 250 feet, or even try to. The human tornado is a game-changer when he's on base and he's finally figured it out, with a little help from Jack. He now owns the highest OBP on the team at .371 and that's over 91 games, no small sample. Over his 22 game streak, his OBP is .480, which is ridiculous. Not that he'll keep that up, but there's no reason to think that he can't do .350+ OBP over an entire season, he's already done it for about 2/3rds of a season. Nobody is going to pitch around him, he's not a power threat. The guy is going to bunt for a hit or hit an infield grounder and beat it out or slap a hit to the short outfield, with the occasional double or triple down the line, or take his walk. Who will steal 2nd most of the time. And 3rd if you're not careful. And go 1st to home when you don't pay attention or on virtually any double. That's an offensive weapon. He no longer embarrasses himself in the field. He's likely gonna be here for a long while as a regular because he's now a proven terror on the bases and has proved he can consistently get on base 1/3rd of the time or more, while holding his own in the field. Which could be almost anywhere. Beinfest was right about the guy, but it took Jack to turn it into reality.
July 24, 201113 yr His peripherals do look pretty good. It's not like his BABIP is doing anything crazy.
July 24, 201113 yr Bonifacio has a 3.7 WAR his last 550 (or so) PA. Extrapolated over 650 PA (a full season), Bonifacio has a 4.3 WAR at his current 2010-2011 combined rate. For perspective, Uggla averaged a 3.9 WAR throughout 2006-2010. Seriously, think about that for a second. In addition, Bonifacio is going to make around $30 million less than Uggla the next three seasons, at a minimum.
July 24, 201113 yr His strikeout rate could be halved. His walk rate is okay, but if he Ks at this rate it's going to be hard to sustain a .360 OBP, which is the desirable number for a lead-off hitter.
July 24, 201113 yr His strikeout rate could be halved. His walk rate is okay, but if he Ks at this rate it's going to be hard to sustain a .360 OBP, which is the desirable number for a lead-off hitter. The K rate is a bit intense, but I really don't care where he bats in the lineup if he has a 2.5+ WAR, let alone a 3.5-4.5 which he is doing right now. I'm totally fine if he ends up at .260/.330/.340 and maintains his defense and base running rates... that's easily a league average 2B and that is huge for how much he will make the next three seasons. It's a pretty exciting development to see where he has come this season. He is becoming a legitimate longterm piece. I really want to get him to 2B ASAP.
July 24, 201113 yr His strikeout rate could be halved. His walk rate is okay, but if he Ks at this rate it's going to be hard to sustain a .360 OBP, which is the desirable number for a lead-off hitter. The K rate is a bit intense, but I really don't care where he bats in the lineup if he has a 2.5+ WAR, let alone a 3.5-4.5 which he is doing right now. I'm totally fine if he ends up at .260/.330/.340 and maintains his defense and base running rates... that's easily a league average 2B and that is huge for how much he will make the next three seasons. And more huge because Uggla sucks and thank god he is not on the books. It's a pretty exciting development to see where Bonifacio has come this season. He was one of the worst players in baseball in 2008, and now is becoming a legitimate longterm piece. Complete reversal. Good for Boni.
July 24, 201113 yr On his fielding, Fangraphs has him at +1.1 WAR while baseball-reference has him at -0.5. The differences in the Sabermetrics fielding stats are ridiculous.
July 25, 201113 yr On his fielding, Fangraphs has him at +1.1 WAR while baseball-reference has him at -0.5. The differences in the Sabermetrics fielding stats are ridiculous. I would take fangraphs and not just because it's a higher number. Is range factor included in defensive WAR?
July 25, 201113 yr On his fielding, Fangraphs has him at +1.1 WAR while baseball-reference has him at -0.5. The differences in the Sabermetrics fielding stats are ridiculous. I would take fangraphs and not just because it's a higher number. Is range factor included in defensive WAR? Probably the best thing is to take the average of the three sabermetrics fielding stats (Rtot, Rdrs and UZR).
July 25, 201113 yr On his fielding, Fangraphs has him at +1.1 WAR while baseball-reference has him at -0.5. The differences in the Sabermetrics fielding stats are ridiculous. 1.6 runs over the course of a season isn't really ridiculous at all. That would seem to be well within the range of random noise you usually see in stats. It's impossible for even the best stats to be 100% accurate over any sample. If they are that close consistently, I think that's pretty good.
July 26, 201113 yr On his fielding, Fangraphs has him at +1.1 WAR while baseball-reference has him at -0.5. The differences in the Sabermetrics fielding stats are ridiculous. 1.6 runs over the course of a season isn't really ridiculous at all. That would seem to be well within the range of random noise you usually see in stats. It's impossible for even the best stats to be 100% accurate over any sample. If they are that close consistently, I think that's pretty good. The difference is in Wins, not Runs... so it's about 16 runs.
July 26, 201113 yr Other players on the team have sizable differences, too. Stanton and maybe Gaby IIRC.
July 26, 201113 yr On his fielding, Fangraphs has him at +1.1 WAR while baseball-reference has him at -0.5. The differences in the Sabermetrics fielding stats are ridiculous. 1.6 runs over the course of a season isn't really ridiculous at all. That would seem to be well within the range of random noise you usually see in stats. It's impossible for even the best stats to be 100% accurate over any sample. If they are that close consistently, I think that's pretty good. The difference is in Wins, not Runs... so it's about 16 runs. Both display raw numbers (fg goes into decimal valur for it, others do not), but only BR has a war (which is the raw number plus positional value, fWAR, which is what you are using) So the difference is 6.6 (he has no position value from playing lf)
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