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PECOTA projects 71 wins

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I do think at least one of those other 4 teams has a disaster of a season. It's a competitive division but too many people think that means all 4 top teams will be good when in reality it often means someone has an unexpected implosion.

Mets end their season in Miami this year. Can't wait to knock them out of the playoff race in the the last series of the season again!

Mets winning the division according to projections then finishing in 4th place shows how much talent they have, but how very Mets they are.

Mets end their season in Miami this year. Can't wait to knock them out of the playoff race in the the last series of the season again!

Highly doubt they would be in the playoff race in the last month of the regular season.

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I do think at least one of those other 4 teams has a disaster of a season. It's a competitive division but too many people think that means all 4 top teams will be good when in reality it often means someone has an unexpected implosion.

Mets will implode.

Could that be just one of their projections for the division? ?

Changes all the time. I guess they think the Braves losing Donaldson will hurt them that much.

Atlanta Braves

 

The Braves were in first in the NL East in 97 of the 162 days of the 2019 season. They were in first for 105 days in 2018. The core of Ronald Acuña, Ozzie Albies, and Mike Soroka is returning and they’re all 23 or younger. Freddie Freeman’s been a four-win player for four straight years. What’s not to like?

 

To their credit, the Braves have sought to improve the club, signing free agents Travis d’Arnaud, Cole Hamels, Marcell Ozuna, and Will Smith. PECOTA sees them adding 6.5 wins. But they also lost Josh Donaldson, Dallas Keuchel, and Julio Teheran, who contributed 9.2 wins in 2019. That’s nearly a three-win deficit. And PECOTA expects the Acuña/Albies/Soroka/Freeman core to generate nearly six fewer wins than in 2019. The bullpen’s deep, but the rotation falls off after Soroka and Hamels. And, as always, there’s The Chop…

 

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/57021/why-pecota-hates-your-favorite-team-2020-edition/

 

Makes sense to me. They added a lot of talent, but lost even more. A few regressions sprinkled in, and suddenly Alex Anthropolous has done in ATL what he did in TOR -- taken a promising team with the top farm system and made them mediocre.

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/57021/why-pecota-hates-your-favorite-team-2020-edition/

 

Makes sense to me. They added a lot of talent, but lost even more. A few regressions sprinkled in, and suddenly Alex Anthropolous has done in ATL what he did in TOR -- taken a promising team with the top farm system and made them mediocre.

That looks interesting, but I'm not paying for another baseball-only site.

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