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9/19 Nationals @ Marlins

Featured Replies

2 minutes ago, Michael said:

Not starting Joyce consistently when he's not hitting anyone, there's step 1.

Matt Joyce has a higher xwOBA than Brinson (.319 vs .305), as well as a long established ability to hit RHP. Sure, Brinson has a nice last 18 PA against RHP, but that Sept. 163 wRC+ has a .455 BABIP. It's the very definition of small sample theater.

I'm fine with Brinson getting more playing time, and he has been, but in must-win games, Joyce sounds like the safer bet here.

Just now, SonOfJack said:

That's rookie effort

We’re all rookie shame on you 

  • Author
5 minutes ago, Photo-Realistic Billy said:

I'm curious then -- using your expertise with advanced analytics, what should the Marlins be doing differently?

Not employing Don Mattingly during baseball games.

 

(But really, even this current move. We have a double header tomorrow and no off days ever again. We're up 5 runs, and he goes to the top 7th inning arm we have. A few days ago, against the 2nd worst bullpen in baseball, he went to the mop-up reliever while we were down just 2 runs. We were then almost immediately down 5 runs. 

6 minutes ago, Photo-Realistic Billy said:

Matt Joyce has a higher xwOBA than Brinson (.319 vs .305)

OK. That's nearly negligible. Give me the better defense.

xWOBAcon however has Brinson higher at .403 to Joyce's .384. Joyce strikes out a little less, that's it.

 

Brinson also wins in xBA (.261 to .229), xSLG (.398 to .356), barrel % (7.3 to 4.2), hard hit percentage (36.4 to 28.2 [btw that 28.2 is ... really bad]) ... I can go on a bit, Joyce should not be in the lineup at a semi consistent rate at all.

  • Author
3 minutes ago, CyggyMarlin said:

I woulda gambled and let Box finish the inning... save the arms for tomorrow

Same. Do the scoreboards not work at Marlins Park, maybe? Mattingly has really struggled with game situation lately. 

  • Author

If you could have a reliever on the team who would give up exactly one run every inning that he pitched, would you think he'd deserve a roster spot? His ERA would be 9.00, which is VERY bad, but I think he'd be a very useful member of a bullpen. Of course, I would say no if Mattingly were still the manager, because he'd mismanage the shit out of him and put him into one run games consistently. 

1 minute ago, SongInTheAir said:

If you could have a reliever on the team who would give up exactly one run every inning that he pitched, would you think he'd deserve a roster spot? His ERA would be 9.00, which is VERY bad, but I think he'd be a very useful member of a bullpen. Of course, I would say no if Mattingly were still the manager, because he'd mismanage the shit out of him and put him into one run games consistently. 

Guaranteed exactly one run every time? I'm bringing him in for the 9th every time we have a lead greater than one run.

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Just now, Michael said:

Guaranteed exactly one run every time? I'm bringing him in for the 9th every time we have a lead greater than one run.

Yeah, or the 8th and 9th if you're up 3, or the 7th, 8th, and 9th if you're up 4. Dude would be super useful if managed correctly

Brinson at .277... With more experience and if he could show good contact rate could be a #1 or #2 hitter in the line-up with his speed

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Just now, el_gmac said:

Jazz better be in the lineup for both games tomorrow 

Not if there's a lefty on the mound! Did you know that's actually illegal? 

Just now, SongInTheAir said:

Not if there's a lefty on the mound! Did you know that's actually illegal? 

To face lefties? Or liberals ?

  • Author
4 minutes ago, el_gmac said:

To face lefties? Or liberals ?

To have a left-handed hitter face a left-handed pitcher on purpose. Donald Mattingly would be arrested in the dugout. 

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