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Everyone, Listen up! Charley needs to be watched

Featured Replies

The east coast of florida has nothing to worry about with this storm. Its us on the west coast that certainly still have to watch this carefully.

The east coast of florida has nothing to worry about with this storm. Its us on the west coast that certainly still have to watch this carefully.

507030[/snapback]

yup...and what some people are missing is that even if the storm were to take some oddball freakish path and manage to make it to miami, it would still have to cross over inland SW florida and get notably weakened in the process.

The east coast of florida has nothing to worry about with this storm.? Its us on the west coast that certainly still have to watch this carefully.

507030[/snapback]

yup...and what some people are missing is that even if the storm were to take some oddball freakish path and manage to make it to miami, it would still have to cross over inland SW florida and get notably weakened in the process.

507044[/snapback]

 

just a couple mph. they expect it to go over cuba and lose no strength at all.

The east coast of florida has nothing to worry about with this storm. Its us on the west coast that certainly still have to watch this carefully.

507030[/snapback]

 

 

but apparently the North North East part of the storm (the part that is projected to hit the Miami vicinity) is always the strongest, with the exception of the edges of the eye

The east coast of florida has nothing to worry about with this storm. Its us on the west coast that certainly still have to watch this carefully.

507030[/snapback]

 

 

but apparently the North North East part of the storm (the part that is projected to hit the Miami vicinity) is always the strongest, with the exception of the edges of the eye

507239[/snapback]

the northeast part of the storm isnt projected to hit anywhere near miami.

 

right now its projected to hit somewhere between venice and ft myers...if any of the storm were to make it east across land and come anywhere near miami, itd be the south part.

Honestly, if the Miami area had something to be worried about - don't you think we'd have watches at a minimum already? I live in FL City (Everglades sorta) if you don't know where the area is..and I'm not worried one bit.

11pm advisory had no changes still 75 mph. the new forecast track is basically the same and hurricane watches issued from Tampa to Key Largo. according to max mayfield a warning for parts of the keys MIGHT go into affect thursday morning.

506976[/snapback]

 

 

 

there you have it.

 

it's tampa-bound.

 

dade, broward, and palm beach counties are all completely out of the cone.

 

marlinfan, you can officially fix your panties now. :p

The models now have the NOAA G-IV data incorporated and the track shifted a bit to the left, or further up the west coast of Florida. Because of the oblique angle along the coast any variation in path could make a big difference in landfall location. The NHC likely has a pretty good beat on the projected patch now.

 

The winds have come up a bit overnight, and the pressure has fallen to 986mb. It is still a Cat 1, but will likely strengthen to at Cat 2 later today.

 

Looks the southern Keys and the west coast of Florida are under the gun.

I've been through too many hurricanes to relax. You don't know it won't hit you until it misses you.

 

P.S. $4,000 later at Lowe's, and we're putting up hurricane shutters at our new home. Every room has huge windows and 4 rooms have either French doors or sliding glass doors.

 

 

Fun, Fun, Fun!

I've been through too many hurricanes to relax. You don't know it won't hit you until it misses you.

507345[/snapback]

I'll second that sentiment.

 

Still, forecasting has gotten much better through the years, I think.

The forecast track is holding steady with landfall predicted around Tampa Bay. The entire west coast of Florida should be bracing themselves as it will be running up the coast.

 

The bad news is that the storm has strengthened to 90 mph, and the NHC has discussed the possiblity of Charley becoming a major hurricane before it crosses Cuba, and maintaining that strength as it makes landfall on the Florida west coast.

 

This would be very bad for Tampa Bay as a storm surge of greater than 10 ft is not out of the question due to the shallow Gulf waters on the west side of the state.

 

Everyone in the area should pay close attention to the news reports, and follow any evacuation orders when given. This is not a storm to take chances with.

The problem for those in Tampa is that not only is it going to hit them, but Cuba didn't get a chance to slow it down too much because it is passing through Habana and Pinar del Rio, which as compared to the highlands in the western part of the archipelago is relatively smooth.

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School is cancelled on Friday here in Lee County. Sanibel, Pine Island and all of the other barrier islands are evacuating.

So is a hurricane basically part really bad thunderstorm part tornado part rain for 40 day sand nights?

winds jumped to 105mph for those that said it would never get to triple digits and it might be a major hurricane before it hits cuba. so things don't look to good for central florida.

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