September 8, 200521 yr linky Don't like those odds. Thats based on the rest of our schedule. It will be a tough road ahead. They give Houston 60.1% :blink:
September 8, 200521 yr Who cares? Take it one day at a time. I don't care what "coolstandings" says, we're 1 out of the playoffs right now and that is all that matters.
September 8, 200521 yr Huggstandings says we have a 92% chance of making the playoffs. *means just as much*
September 8, 200521 yr Huggstandings says we have a 92% chance of making the playoffs. *means just as much* 934988[/snapback] Exactly. :lol I bet Coolstandings gave us high chances to win in 03' cuz theyre so good. :glare
September 8, 200521 yr well marlins "chances" went up over night...Fish now at 21.1 percent...keep rising boys
September 8, 200521 yr Who cares? Take it one day at a time. I don't care what "coolstandings" says, we're 1 out of the playoffs right now and that is all that matters. 934937[/snapback] woops this is who i meant to quote!!! Admin your right!! :thumbup
September 8, 200521 yr 1% chance of winning the division??? hahaha Just having 6 games against the Braves gives us higher odds than that.
September 8, 200521 yr 1% chance of winning the division??? hahaha Just having 6 games against the Braves gives us higher odds than that. 935030[/snapback] :lol :lol :lol :lol
September 8, 200521 yr 1% chance of winning the division??? hahaha Just having 6 games against the Braves gives us higher odds than that. 935030[/snapback] These percentages are not constant, anyway. There will be a different percentage if we win tonight and a different one if we lose. I think the Braves are out of reach.
September 8, 200521 yr I give coolstandings a 100% chance of being irrelevant. Either way, the underdog role fit the Marls well in 03 and so it shall be this year as well.
September 8, 200521 yr They've updated since last night's games. Houston 65.4% Marlins 21.1% Philadelphia 6.8% New York 3.0% Washington 1.9% Atlanta 1.1% Milwaukee 0.6% Chicago 0.2% St. Louis
September 8, 200521 yr I give coolstandings a 100% chance of being irrelevant. Either way, the underdog role fit the Marls well in 03 and so it shall be this year as well. 935113[/snapback] Your percentage is much more accurate than theirs.
September 8, 200521 yr Isn't "coolstandings" a movie about the Jamacin Bobsled team? My baby son took a dump last night and the diaper was 98% full, which is a sign from God that means the Marlins have a 98% chance of making the playoffs. :whistle
September 8, 200521 yr What were our chances about this time during the '03 run? Exactly. 935148[/snapback] I don't know what the chances were exactly, but I would imagine we had the best chance out of any of the teams in the WC race. We were leading the race at this time that year, right? Rferry, do you have this information?
September 8, 200521 yr Yeah, we took it over in late August. Although I can't find the day by day playoff odds for 2003, I'd imagine our chances would have been tops among contenders. With Houston right there and Philadelphia not far behind and a couple other teams picking up 1% here and 5% there. Houston and St. Louis had pretty tough schedules, but not as tough as the NL East teams while Chicago had a cake walk (19 of their final 22 games against teams without any real chance of the playoffs).
September 8, 200521 yr I know the schedule means a lot but as long as we keep winning-we will be alright. That Astro series is HUGE. We need 3 wins right there. No less than 2.
September 8, 200521 yr I know the schedule means a lot but as long as we keep winning-we will be alright. That Astro series is HUGE. We need 3 wins right there. No less than 2. 935210[/snapback] It is harder to just "keep winning" when you face good opponents. That's kind of you know the point of this whole thing coolstandings and BP are doing.
September 8, 200521 yr Another method is to simply assume that any team has a 50-50 shot of beating any other team. You could flip a coin to decide who would win each game. This method isn't too realistic, but it usually gives Chicago teams a better shot at the division. For lack of a better term, we call this prediction mode "Dumb mode". :lol
September 8, 200521 yr I dont' care about these ratings cuz anything can happen, it's all baloney. However, I do believe that there is no way anyone else is winning the division but the Braves.
September 9, 200521 yr I am going to go out on a limb and say that at the end of the season, we'll have either a 0% or a 100% chance to win the wild card. Just a guess. :mischief
September 10, 200521 yr 23.2% chance after yesterday's loss. I know it means very little, but its still interesting to follow.
September 13, 200521 yr Houston 44.4% Philadelphia 20% Mets, Phillies, Milwaukee, Cubs at around 1% Now without considering strength of schedule: Florida 38.7% Houston 31.5% Philadelphia 21.5% Washington 2.4% Mets, Milwaukee, Cubs and Reds at around 1%
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