November 14, 20196 yr No, he talks a big game but we signed Chen under him too so despite what he says if we offer good money he happily takes it. I wanna say we signed another one of his guys after Chen too but I can't remember who if anyone. Bleday - over slot too (a little) I believe
November 14, 20196 yr https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/11/latest-on-nicholas-castellanos-marcell-ozuna.html Why ignore the Marlins intended ? but it's not bad to be a "mystery team", right ?
November 14, 20196 yr I think it would be a bad off-season if we couldn't at least acquire one of Castellanos and Ozuna.
November 14, 20196 yr I would love to have Castellanos. Great hitter, still young, Miami guy that would really help this lineup. Guy had 58 doubles last season! I see him becoming something similar to J.D. Martinez. Not sure whether I would want him at third base or right field. Have heard some negatives about his outfield defense so if the Marlins definitely want Anderson at third then perhaps Castellanos would be better off in left than right.
November 14, 20196 yr Author I would love to have Castellanos. Great hitter, still young, Miami guy that would really help this lineup. Guy had 58 doubles last season! Yep I like Nick as well. Hopefully they take a big swing and aren't just faking interest in a bunch of free agents. He only cares about cash. And he's proven that many times in the past. He'll hold out until spring training even if he sees potential dollars coming.
November 14, 20196 yr I would love to have Castellanos. Great hitter, still young, Miami guy that would really help this lineup. Guy had 58 doubles last season! I see him becoming something similar to J.D. Martinez. Not sure whether I would want him at third base or right field. Have heard some negatives about his outfield defense so if the Marlins definitely want Anderson at third then perhaps Castellanos would be better off in left than right. I agree with the bat comp. Maybe he never gets to JD's recent epic years, but the guy can hit and I think there is growth potential, with a .850 OPS floor which is fantastic. I don't think he is an Eric Hosmer at all. He hasn't played 3B in 2 seasons, and was horrendous in 2017, so that ship has sailed. You're definitely keeping BA at 3B for years unless a true superstar (Rendon) is acquired, or Jazz gets too big for SS and you have to move BA to the OF. I don't think either of those are a 5 year problem for the Marlins. I think you would play Castellanos as a revolving door at 1B/LF/RF/DH. He graded out "unreasonably terrible" in a small LF sample size in 2019 so I'm not sure if I believe that, and was "below average but not killing you" in RF in 2019. The issue is, his 2018 RF defense was really terrible, so did he just get a little lucky in 2019 (Wrigley easier than Comerica?), or was there some real growth with a 2nd full year in the OF. I'm optimistic with him, so I'd like to think the Marlins can make him an acceptable corner OF option and an adequate 1B (as a former 3B, he has had a lot of time in the IF already so not a massive conversion). My idea would be 50+ games at 1B, 80+ LF/RF (figure out whichever he is better at and play him there), and all DH games are his. Or maybe Lewin Diaz just doesn't cut it and he's the longterm 1B (I think Cooper is a bench player on a good time and may get phased out even if he works out). This would figure itself out by performance. Collecting good players is all they need to do and then they can figure it out. Just like the Dodgers who can deploy unreal amounts of lineups that are passable.
November 14, 20196 yr Yep I like Nick as well. Hopefully they take a big swing and aren't just faking interest in a bunch of free agents. And he's proven that many times in the past. He'll hold out until spring training even if he sees potential dollars coming. Yep. A long holdout for Castellanos seems like it will happen as Boras will have a standing offer and just hope someone gets hurt first two weeks of spring training. Good thing with the Marlins is, the only way Castellanos makes sense is if it's on their contract terms that work. If he doesn't sign? Bye Felicia. It would suck for us seeing an even worse product another year, but who cares. Eyes on the prize in 2022. It's either creating an asset for the hypothetical contending team or not. No pressure to land this dude but if it happens, great.
November 14, 20196 yr So, just to clarify the situation financially... Jeter and company have money to spend? I heard they were broke and would never be able to spend money on free agents. Ha, well let's see if they sign anyone first. @MarlinsLou is spot on. The team is in a different phase of team building. It is time to get busy with free agents. I'll take one for the team and get busy with them if it seals the deal haha.
November 14, 20196 yr If this team acquires Castellanos or Ozuna, it would not only improve this team but also rewards to the fans that still believe in them.
November 14, 20196 yr I'd rather give Castellanos a contract at this point over Ozuna as I like the unknown factor between the two of them I guess? I feel like we know what we'll get with Ozuna already so why not just overpay for the younger of the two and see if he keeps improving - and if so, he'll likely be a longer contributing member of this team. Also, they are going to have to overpay for Castellanos. I'd say 90% of FA's are ALWAYS overpaid - which is how it's supposed to work for the player. But the vast majority of the time - whoever is willing to overpay the most will get that player to sign with them, in particular when the player is looking to cash in during his prime years (it can change as they get closer to the end of their career and just want to win a title). I'm not worried about how the OF will look in a few years and where Castellanos would play. A LOT can happen in a few years and if they end up with a crowded roster then trades can be made. It's not like it's a bad thing to have too much talent.
November 14, 20196 yr I'd rather give Castellanos a contract at this point over Ozuna as I like the unknown factor between the two of them I guess? I feel like we know what we'll get with Ozuna already so why not just overpay for the younger of the two and see if he keeps improving - and if so, he'll likely be a longer contributing member of this team. Also, they are going to have to overpay for Castellanos. I'd say 90% of FA's are ALWAYS overpaid - which is how it's supposed to work for the player. But the vast majority of the time - whoever is willing to overpay the most will get that player to sign with them, in particular when the player is looking to cash in during his prime years (it can change as they get closer to the end of their career and just want to win a title). I'm not worried about how the OF will look in a few years and where Castellanos would play. A LOT can happen in a few years and if they end up with a crowded roster then trades can be made. It's not like it's a bad thing to have too much talent. Agreed. I rather pay for Castellanos and the predictions have him signing for 4 years between $56 - $60 million. Paying $15 million for Castellanos would be just fine. He plays RF or 1B on this team if he gets signed. 2B and back up catcher are the areas I really wanna see get addressed.
November 14, 20196 yr Garcia and Puig on a short term deal help current product, and do not help 2022-2023. I will keep saying it - create some value and front load one of those two dudes as they still are going to be good in 3-4 years as they are young. And buy out Anderson and do the same. Then you can afford more guys in the years you are good.
November 14, 20196 yr Agreed. I rather pay for Castellanos and the predictions have him signing for 4 years between $56 - $60 million. Paying $15 million for Castellanos would be just fine. He plays RF or 1B on this team if he gets signed. 2B and back up catcher are the areas I really wanna see get addressed. I think that's low, but even $64-68 is fine ($20-20-$14-$12 sort of thing, etc.). More than that it gets a little iffy on my end, especially with Ozuna and the pick. 2B they have to give Isan PA and Berti was surprisingly fantastic last year. Not sure what the concern is. I'm also personally fine with Wallach and Heineman (hope he sticks in AAA and maybe the bat is real), but a veteran wouldn't be a bad thing. Wallach was good before he got hurt. I'd just place this not in the top 5 concerns. To me thats- -Castellanos/Ozuna (or Rendon), or I guess a short term cheap 1 year bat if those guys are too expensive -5th SP innings eater or solid lefty reliever. Depends on where you put Urena, in the rotation or pen. -Romo -N. Walker -Brad Miller/Ryon Healy type
November 14, 20196 yr If the Marlins did acquire Castellanos or Ozuna, then they would have 2 players in common with my ongoing mlb the show franchise that I started back in 2016. The only other guy I have who is still on the real team is Dean.
November 15, 20196 yr Sometimes you just need to lose something to get something whether it's money or draft picks, no pain no gain …
November 15, 20196 yr https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/11/boras-on-free-agency-cole-strasburg-castellanos-jdm.html
November 15, 20196 yr Same old Marlins !? Let's not forget that other teams are going after these free agents too and that the Marlins still can't be offering ridiculous dollar amounts either.
November 15, 20196 yr Let's not forget that other teams are going after these free agents too and that the Marlins still can't be offering ridiculous dollar amounts either. Sadly, sometimes only the ridiculous money would get the job done …
November 15, 20196 yr Author Sadly, sometimes only the ridiculous money would get the job done … That's how you end up with a Chen contract for years. One of those immovable deals.
November 15, 20196 yr I think that's low, but even $64-68 is fine ($20-20-$14-$12 sort of thing, etc.). More than that it gets a little iffy on my end, especially with Ozuna and the pick. 2B they have to give Isan PA and Berti was surprisingly fantastic last year. Not sure what the concern is. I'm also personally fine with Wallach and Heineman (hope he sticks in AAA and maybe the bat is real), but a veteran wouldn't be a bad thing. Wallach was good before he got hurt. I'd just place this not in the top 5 concerns. To me thats- -Castellanos/Ozuna (or Rendon), or I guess a short term cheap 1 year bat if those guys are too expensive -5th SP innings eater or solid lefty reliever. Depends on where you put Urena, in the rotation or pen. -Romo -N. Walker -Brad Miller/Ryon Healy type I just checked again and MLBTR has Castellanos at around 4 years / $58 million. Their predictions seem to be pretty accurate unless a team just grossly overpays. Castellanos is young at 27 and has a good bat but his defense is still suspect. Yeah, he improved in RF but teams are still valuing the defense. He is basically a poor man's JD Martinez right now and even then I don't know if that is a good comparison. I think that is a fair contract to offer him, I hope Berti pans out, even if they platoon him and Isan at 2B. But having a veteran that can play multiple positions in the infield and corner OF would be great. Wallach is the logical choice for backup but there are still questions on his concussions.
November 15, 20196 yr I just checked again and MLBTR has Castellanos at around 4 years / $58 million. Their predictions seem to be pretty accurate unless a team just grossly overpays. Castellanos is young at 27 and has a good bat but his defense is still suspect. Yeah, he improved in RF but teams are still valuing the defense. He is basically a poor man's JD Martinez right now and even then I don't know if that is a good comparison. I think that is a fair contract to offer him, I hope Berti pans out, even if they platoon him and Isan at 2B. But having a veteran that can play multiple positions in the infield and corner OF would be great. Wallach is the logical choice for backup but there are still questions on his concussions. MLBTR isn't a great source. They are OK. They've recently written the Marlins owe Stanton money in 2020 and Chen $22 million in 2020, and that's unarguably wrong based on Stanton not choosing the opt in/out yet post 2020 (best I can tell is, it was a typo for the Castro buyout but I'm not sure) and Chen's money being deferred (MLBTR is using the luxury tax numbers because they are lazy). I think that ballpark for Castellanos is right, but I can see it being anywhere from 3/$42 to 4/$72. It'll probably land in the middle of that annual value over 4 years, with Boras shooting for a high annual value 3 year deal with the hopes of free agency again or 5 guaranteed years which is the dream for them. We'll see what happens, but I think 4 years over $15-17 per is going to be where it lands right now. Which is fine, especially front loaded which is likely an advantage the Marlins can give as money now versus money in 2023 is a benefit. If they can get him for less, that is fantastic. 5.8 WAR last 2 years and defense did improve in 2019 with his second full year in the OF, and can very likely play him at 1B. I don't care about his defense at all if he's going to average a 2.8 WAR over 4 years. That's surplus value in the bank and a fantastic signing. The rest of the Marlins team (besides Isan) projects as plus defensively. They'll endure.
November 15, 20196 yr That's how you end up with a Chen contract for years. One of those immovable deals. You just couldn't be the winner in every deal.
November 15, 20196 yr MLBTR isn't a great source. They are OK. They've recently written the Marlins owe Stanton money in 2020 and Chen $22 million in 2020, and that's unarguably wrong based on Stanton not choosing the opt in/out yet post 2020 (best I can tell is, it was a typo for the Castro buyout but I'm not sure) and Chen's money being deferred (MLBTR is using the luxury tax numbers because they are lazy). I think that ballpark for Castellanos is right, but I can see it being anywhere from 3/$42 to 4/$72. It'll probably land in the middle of that annual value over 4 years, with Boras shooting for a high annual value 3 year deal with the hopes of free agency again or 5 guaranteed years which is the dream for them. We'll see what happens, but I think 4 years over $15-17 per is going to be where it lands right now. Which is fine, especially front loaded which is likely an advantage the Marlins can give as money now versus money in 2023 is a benefit. If they can get him for less, that is fantastic. 5.8 WAR last 2 years and defense did improve in 2019 with his second full year in the OF, and can very likely play him at 1B. I don't care about his defense at all if he's going to average a 2.8 WAR over 4 years. That's surplus value in the bank and a fantastic signing. The rest of the Marlins team (besides Isan) projects as plus defensively. They'll endure. I believe he'll certainly get over 4/60mil. I really don't see him signing in Miami for 15mil per as I'm sure there will be at least a handful of other teams offering that and with all things considered - why would you want to play for a team that just lost 100+ games when you can go to a competitive team with far more robust fan support at home games? If the Marlins offered something like 4/70-72 I would take that as a far more serious sign they are making a good faith effort to sign a notable FA. They're going to have to overpay a bit compared to other teams - not by some astronomical amount but it'll likely cost them a bit more. Offering a 4/60 deal is not a legit effort to sign him because he's bound to get that same offer from other teams.
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.