Big_Rob

Solid pick :thumbup

Keep him in NOLA for 2 months so that if he does become a "future star," we can have him for the club controlled minimum 2009-2012. :thumbup We're not winning/losing the season if Bonifacio, McPherson, and Helms form a 3B platoon versus Sanchez at 1B. I agree, they should try to super-two him. He's not going to make or break the season.

:notworthy Never thought I'd see that today, great job out there on the mound.

Gameday Link (it's lagging a little) Real duel so far.

WTF? This looked like a slam dunk for the Marlins. He didn't say anything about being hurt until he got sent down. That isn't the organization's problem, it's the player's problem. There has to be more to this than we have heard, but I thought we were hearing the whole story.

They need to bring back those teal uni's with the black lettering.

The tools are certainly there- I could see it happening.

I ran across the "value" stat on a site that is new to me- FanGraphs. Looking through the Marlins' players I saw that Hermida's value last year was listed at $3.5M, down from $10.2M in 2007. I LOLed when I saw that his 2006 value was -$1.1M (yeah, it was a negative number.)

I've felt for a while now that he would be great for the Dodgers.

While I don't think it's a given that Ricky will get the opening day start, I certainly have to believe that he has the inside edge after the season he put together last year. His 11K shutout against the Giants, 13Ks against the Rockies, 12Ks against the Rays, 10Ks against the Diamondbacks and the Mets... he definitely has ace stuff. And don't forget that he beat the Phillies three times...

Nolasco just signed apparently... $2.45M is what I'm reading via second hand text.

Nolasco will be paid less than your $3M estimate. I'm pretty sure $3M is higher than his arbitration asking price- not by much though. I don't think Amezaga or Ross will get as much as you are estimating either, but I'm not sure of their figures.

Sure seems like a lawsuit against GNC and/or the supplement manufacturer would be warranted for the loss of income-unless it is not true. Exactly.....why is it these athletes never sue the bejezus out of these companies ? Its because its all a ruse.....that most of the na?ve public will believe and go along with.....the stupid b*stards. :banghead Shut the hell up already. You sure talk tough for a guy that obviously had a problem with jocks his whole life. Get your ass kicked much growing up? Still happening? If you saw Mitre's body you wouldn't think he was taking andro. Sober up or shut up.

It says that MLB confirmed that the supplement in question had andro in it, even though it was not supposed to. I don't agree with the suspension or all of the criticism of Mitre if this is the case. Just continuing the cycle of the "Jocks are better than everyone else and don't have to live by the rules the rest of us do". Are you really serious ? You believe what MLB says about this ? When they had to be horse collared by Congress to do anything at all about the steroids problem ? :whistle Are there people really this dumb ? :blink: I'm dumb now? I swear I put a disclaimer in there... If they are serious about testing a legitimate substance and finding banned substances illegally within it, I don't see how they can fault the player.

It says that MLB confirmed that the supplement in question had andro in it, even though it was not supposed to. I don't agree with the suspension or all of the criticism of Mitre if this is the case.

I was just thinking today how Nolasco/Johnson/Volstad could potentially be the new version of Glavine/Maddux/Smoltz. Scary. I remember someone (Ron Gant?) on a braves broadcast in '06 saying the same thing about Nolasco/Johnson/Olsen.

I believe this is the same place Andy Fox started his coaching career, I thought I just saw Bryan Harvey named pitching coach somewhere. Anyone feel like putting a list of former Marlins coaching in the minors together? Sounds like a hell of a task, but I'll take a shot at it in the next couple of days.

Jason Wood begins his post-playing career as a coach on the Rangers' high A Bakersfield Blaze staff. Congrats to Jason, hopefully he gets everything he wants out of this opportunity.

From what I've heard, he has all of the tools but no brains. He's ultra-talented but not too bright.

Ray King steals sh*t out of people's lockers.

With all these formulas and stuff, I've come to a conclusion... You guys seriously need to find some other things to do with your time. I'm a recovering financial economics major that just switched to accounting... regression analysis, ordinary least squares and statistical modeling are exactly what I'd be doing with my time regardless of the topic. So, it might as well be spent working with numbers I care about.

I posted something similar a couple weeks ago (in the MLB forum) regarding high K totals and high BABIP, basically saying that guys who strike out a lot (i.e. Jake, Uggla, Hermida) are more likely to have a high BABIP because when they get ahold of one they crush it. Link It was only a single season regression analysis, so it has to be taken for what it's worth... but it seems somewhat logical. I wanted to expand the study to a multi-year model, but i'm having trouble both eliminating auto-correlation among the data sets (a guy tends to do what he did previously in subsequent years) and cleaning up the data so that it doesn't get comprimised be one guy's injury plagued season. It's become more effort than it's likely worth, but it's interesting nonetheless. While not the same exact thing, this relates to it on an even keel. What these guys found was that a higher contact rate actually meant a lower BABIP in most cases. "One might expect a higher contact rate to lead to a higher BABIP, but the opposite actually seems to be the case. This is likely caused by the correlation between strikeouts and power, since players who swing hard tend to either miss entirely or crush the ball for hits. If this theory is reflected in our data, it makes sense that we would expect a player with a lower contact rate to generate a higher predicted BABIP. This is consistent with Studeman's follow-up work on BABIP." And their data is from 02-08, so that's 7 years. Very nice! Saves me a lot of effort that wasn't going to make me any money.

I posted something similar a couple weeks ago (in the MLB forum) regarding high K totals and high BABIP, basically saying that guys who strike out a lot (i.e. Jake, Uggla, Hermida) are more likely to have a high BABIP because when they get ahold of one they crush it. Link It was only a single season regression analysis, so it has to be taken for what it's worth... but it seems somewhat logical. I wanted to expand the study to a multi-year model, but i'm having trouble both eliminating auto-correlation among the data sets (a guy tends to do what he did previously in subsequent years) and cleaning up the data so that it doesn't get comprimised be one guy's injury plagued season. It's become more effort than it's likely worth, but it's interesting nonetheless.

I hope he comes back out this way, he was great on the minor league radio broadcasts out here a few years back.

Is he healthy? He was hurt twice last year: a right elbow strain which healed up enough for him to get back on the field, only to see him foul a pitch into his nose and end his season. I thought it was strange that the Padres had two guys break their faces last year. As long as he's healthy and fighting guys from the other teams, I'm OK with bringing him in.