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Das Texan

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Everything posted by Das Texan

  1. Thats kinda the point. John Fisher was a petty prick last year, so why should the city of Oakland just simply let him get a lease extension without some major concessions coming their way?
  2. Then they should just go somewhere else. Not really sure why the City of Oakland should bend over backwards to appease John Fisher when he told them to fuck off last year, knowing he had no home for a number of years.
  3. I hope the city of Oakland plays hardball and either: a. forces Fisher to sell to local groups b. forces MLB to grant an expansion team to Oakland with the A's branding and history. There is zero incentive for the city of Oakland to play nice at this point.
  4. If the Marlins trade Edward Cabrera, might be a good time to talk about this:
  5. So basically the difference between being in the playoffs and not being in the playoffs. Cool.
  6. Das Texan

    Innings Deficit

    For weeks now I've been talking about the Marlins facing an innings deficit with their projected starting staff. When they are right, they have the potential to be very good. There is no denying this, lets be perfect clear about that. Full stop. However... In 2024 there are silly little things like innings limitations and pitcher health et al. Starting pitchers (especially young guys, of which all the Marlins starters would still qualify) are not going to be pushed more than 20% more innings than the previous year, all things considered. Coming off injury changes the equation some, however you are not going to see a pitcher go from 30 innings pitched to 150 in the next season. That will not happen. Not in this day of protection of players. So lets go through the math here. A 5 man starting rotation needs to take 32 starts per season (its actually 32.4, but for the sake of this lets go down to 32 and figure out the other 2 starts effectively some other way). For a starter to go 6 innings (OMG!) that is 192 innings per season. Lets look at the Marlins projected staff from 2023: Eury Perez - 91.1 innings pitched in the majors Jesus Luzardo - 178.2 innings pitched Trevor Rogers - 18 innings pitched Braxton Garrett - 159.2 innings pitched Edward Cabrera - 99.2 innings pitched Lets look at the Fangraphs projections for 2024: Eury Perez - 122 innings pitched (I think 125/130 is more realistic though) Jesus Luzardo - 178.1 innings pitched (I think this is bunk and he can go 192 (or a full season) Trevor Rogers - 124 innings pitched (seems reasonable coming off injury) Braxton Garrett - 158 innings pitched (I think this is quite light and project him being able to go 180-192 innings pitched, so basically taking 30 starts at least) Edward Cabrera - 132 innings pitched That is about 771 innings pitched. For your 5 starters at 6 innings per start you are looking at 960 innings needed. That is a deficit of 189 innings pitched. Incidentally they project Max Meyer to get about 100 innings which is not unreasonable. That is still a deficit. So doing simple MATH, unless you are going to have your starting staff average 5 innings a start, which only leaves your bullpen on fumes come August, then there is a major innings deficit facing the Marlins. With the word they are seriously looking at moving Edward Cabrera and that deficit gets EVEN MORE GLARING! As I've been saying for weeks, the Marlins should have spent money and signed a veteran starter to provide them innings, but they refused to do so becuase Bruce Sherman is cheap. Bruce Sherman does not have the desire to win at the Major League Level in 2024. Bruce Sherman does not see that this team was a playoff team in 2023 and build toward sustained winning, improved fan engagement and improved attendance. Bruce Sherman is concerned mostly with his own profits. Signing a player for 1-2 years does nothing to affect your long term sustainability. It only costs a few dollars, of which Bruce Sherman either doesnt have the desire or the cash (less likely given how much cash each team recieves these days). Bruce Sherman is not serious about winning. Not in 2024, not in 2025, not in ever. This is just the reality of the situation. Math is not the Marlins friend, no matter what pollyanna fantasy some might want to send your way. And this pitching deficit is a shame and easily avoidable with just a little bit of investment in this organization.
  7. The problem isnt so much in not signing Soler to a fairly reasonable contract its that they have literally done NOTHING to improve the 2024 team on the field from last year. The team on Opening Day in 2024 will be a worse team than was playing in the playoffs in 2023. That is a 100% fact. They are closer to Washington than they are to Atlanta right now.
  8. this is not exactly some trade secret that the Royals have been working on plans for a new stadium though. what i'm saying isnt some gigantic breaking news honestly.
  9. I"m resorting to outsoucing some of my posts.
  10. Kaufmann stadium is something like 5th oldest in all of the Majors. This has been rumored for a long time and this has been a known thing to happen for a long while. I'm sure it's going to be a damn great concept and it will be a fantastic park in the end. Kansas City is a great place for baseball (and BBQ)
  11. Jesus Luzardo allows the Marlins to get back the most 'Tampa Bay Rays' return of any option the Marlins have. Think Archer, Chris as Exhibit A.
  12. 1 year contracts cost you cash of which MLB owners are awash in cash and cash flow. Especially when your payroll is south of 100 million.
  13. I'd' put it at 60% chance Luzardo is moved before opening day.
  14. That Soler contract he signed shows how unserious the Marlins are about actually winning and caring far more about profits end of day. if you want to build upon 2023 - you sign Soler. In today's day and age, thats not even an unreasonable contract. It doesnt hamstring you long term. It allows you to maintain a level of competitivness and keep pushing forward for a playoff berth. Joke of a franchise.
  15. 14 million AAV is too much for Bruce Sherman to pay a player. That's not how it works in Bruce land. The QO was something like 20 million, there is NO WAY Bruce was paying that even if for one year in a million years now! As always....cheapness wins out.
  16. Oh he will do some eating allright....
  17. I wasnt even fucking quoting you. Are you confusing your accounts or something?
  18. He didnt have an AWFUL year, just compared to 2022 it wasnt to his standards. you cant replace Sandy true. But you didnt exactly replace the 184 innings he gave you last year. This is reality: Marlins are facing an innings limit that either has been completely over looked or ignored. I'm not really sure which. This innings limit exists already and if someone gets hurt it gets even MORE glaring. There will be MANY openers used this year, so I hope you like it!!!
  19. Sandy Alcantra matters zero. Dont tell Bruce Sherman this or he will work to get him out of town as quickly as possible.
  20. They will save money with Gordon, now it all makes sense.
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