Posted June 9, 200915 yr A few mocks: http://www.mlbdraftsite.com/ http://www.mymlbdraft.com/MLB-Mock-Draft-2009 http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090608&content_id=5206496&vkey=draft2009&fext=.jsp 1st rd. Draft Order: 1. Washington Nationals 2. Seattle Mariners 3. San Diego Padres 4. Pittsburgh Pirates 5. Baltimore Orioles 6. San Francisco Giants 7. Atlanta Braves 8. Cincinnati Reds 9. Detroit Tigers 10. Washington Nationals (for Aaron Crow) 11. Colorado Rockies 12. Kansas City Royals 13. Oakland Athletics 14. Texas Rangers 15. Cleveland Indians 16. Arizona Diamondbacks 17. Arizona Diamondbacks (from Dodgers) 18. Florida Marlins 19. St. Louis Cardinals 20. Toronto Blue Jays 21. Houston Astros 22. Minnesota Twins 23. Chicago White Sox 24. Los Angeles Angels (from Mets) 25. Los Angeles Angels (from Yankees) 26. Milwaukee Brewers 27. Seattle Mariners (from Phillies) 28. Boston Red Sox 29. New York Yankees (for Gerrit Cole) 30. Tampa Bay Rays 31. Chicago Cubs 32. Colorado Rockies (from Angels)
June 9, 200915 yr a few players I wouldn't mind the Marlins getting... Jacob Turner, Mike Minor, Eric Arnett, Chad James all are realistic options when the Marlins come up to pick at #18.
June 9, 200915 yr I'll laugh my ass off if the Nationals pass on Strasburg after all the talk of him going #1. I'm very interested in seeing where Mike Brownstein and Brian Cavazos-Galvez of UNM go. Brownstein is an absolute beast of a 2B. He hit .414 with 1 HR 49 RBI 23 SO 34 BB and 20 SB. He was named Mountain West POTY, Louisville Slugger Second Team, Ping! Baseball Second Team All-American but because he didn't play in the "mighty" ACC or SEC he isn't one of ESPN's top draft prospects. Cavazos-Galvez hit .392 with 15 HR 63 RBI 15 SO 14 BB and 17 SB.
June 9, 200915 yr I'll laugh my ass off if the Nationals pass on Strasburg after all the talk of him going #1. I'm very interested in seeing where Mike Brownstein and Brian Cavazos-Galvez of UNM go. Brownstein is an absolute beast of a 2B. He hit .414 with 1 HR 49 RBI 23 SO 34 BB and 20 SB. He was named Mountain West POTY, Louisville Slugger Second Team, Ping! Baseball Second Team All-American but because he didn't play in the "mighty" ACC or SEC he isn't one of ESPN's top draft prospects. Cavazos-Galvez hit .392 with 15 HR 63 RBI 15 SO 14 BB and 17 SB. Tyler Townsend from FIU was far better than either of those guys and he might not be a top three round pick this year. It happens. Also, 1 hr with an aluminum bat. Yuck.
June 9, 200915 yr a few players I wouldn't mind the Marlins getting... Jacob Turner, Mike Minor, Eric Arnett, Chad James all are realistic options when the Marlins come up to pick at #18. I would be fine with Turner or James, to a lesser extent Arnett(although if we go pitching in the 1st round I would rather it be a high schooler). Drafting Minor at #18 would be awful and would make me quite sick.
June 9, 200915 yr high school players are far more likely to bust than college players. At least from a college player you have a better idea of how his game will translate to the major league level.
June 9, 200915 yr high school players are far more likely to bust than college players. At least from a college player you have a better idea of how his game will translate to the major league level. Bingo. Not only that, but college players almost always take way less time to develop than high schoolers. With the Marlins being one of the poorest teams in the league, you would think they would want their farmhands to develop as quickly as possible, but apparently they have a different strategy.
June 9, 200915 yr Are you sure college players take less time to develop? I would wager there is relatively little discrepancy in the development time.
June 9, 200915 yr It sucks that MLB decided to move the Draft up to New Jersey this year, as I had been able to attend the previous two drafts that were held in Orlando at Disney's Wide World of Sports.
June 9, 200915 yr Are you sure college players take less time to develop? I would wager there is relatively little discrepancy in the development time. On average, yeah. Common sense should tell you that. High School players are 17 and 18 year old kids, College players are 20 and 21 year old men. That three to four extra years of experience against tougher competition really speeds up development compared to feasting off of weaker competition in the high school ranks. There are always going to be a few Justin Upton and Rick Porcello types who make it to the big leagues quickly, but most high schoolers are going to spend about 4 or 5 years in the minors before reaching MLB. College players are going to spend maybe 2 or 3. I'm just coming up with those numbers off the top of my head based on following these kind of things in my spare time.... I have no real statistics to prove it, so if you want to try and find some statistics that prove me wrong, feel free.
June 9, 200915 yr I think you will find that overall high school players are progressing faster while college development times have remained stagnant, a non-statistical observation if you will. College pitchers are hindered by the fact that they are rarely more than throwers and have no idea how to pitch. College hitters quite often have a very difficult time transitioning from metal to wooden bats.
June 9, 200915 yr College pitchers are hindered by the fact that they are rarely more than throwers and have no idea how to pitch. And you're basing this on what? :blink: Also, why would high school pitchers be any different? College hitters quite often have a very difficult time transitioning from metal to wooden bats. High school hitters use metal bats too. Why would the transition be any different between college hitters and high school hitters? You don't think college hitters practice with wood bats to prepare for the pros?Ever heard of the Cape Cod League?
June 9, 200915 yr It sucks that MLB decided to move the Draft up to New Jersey this year, as I had been able to attend the previous two drafts that were held in Orlando at Disney's Wide World of Sports. I'm just wondering how they are going to set it up in Studio 42.
June 9, 200915 yr Josh Johnson, Chris Volstad, Sean West...all taken out of high school...all made it to the Majors relatively quickly(within 3 years of being drafted). You take the best available talent. Just because someone went to college doesn't make him any more of a sure thing.
June 9, 200915 yr Yay, for draft day. Boo, for me feeling old again. Some of these guys were born in 1991 and 1990. Oh great :banghead .
June 9, 200915 yr Yay, for draft day. Boo, for me feeling old again. Some of these guys were born in 1991 and 1990. Oh great :banghead . Yeah draft day is like the most depressing day ever
June 9, 200915 yr Yay, for draft day. Boo, for me feeling old again. Some of these guys were born in 1991 and 1990. Oh great . Now I start to feel old. I was born in 1989 so finally guys are being drafted that are younger than me.
June 9, 200915 yr Just because someone went to college doesn't make him any more of a sure thing. The history of the draft says you're incorrect. Players taken out of college are about 20% more likely to make the Major Leagues than high school players.
June 9, 200915 yr Yay, for draft day. Boo, for me feeling old again. Some of these guys were born in 1991 and 1990. Oh great . Now I start to feel old. I was born in 1989 so finally guys are being drafted that are younger than me. I was born in 1985 :o . It hurts. It hurts bad.
June 9, 200915 yr A kid who's climbing up draft boards quite rapidly recently is Tyler Matzik http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/events/draft/y2009/reports.jsp?content=matzek here's a brief scouting report on him. Projected to fall anywhere between the early 20s to the mid 30s.
June 9, 200915 yr Fish are predicted to take 18. Florida Marlins: Chad James, LHP, Yukon (Okla.) H.S. James gets high marks for his pure stuff, though to some his command is a cause for concern. Florida could also consider local product Borchering or college guy Jenkins.
June 9, 200915 yr Just because someone went to college doesn't make him any more of a sure thing. The history of the draft says you're incorrect. Players taken out of college are about 20% more likely to make the Major Leagues than high school players. Source? Does that only including 1st round or all rounds? Does that only include major colleges or does that include junior colleges?
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