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2012: Race for the Republican Nomination


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First stop...Iowa Caucus.

 

Santorum and Romney are literally in a dead heat. Tied 25% to 25% of the vote after around 90% of the votes reported.

 

Also being reported that Bachmann's campaign manager is saying she may drop out of the race after finishing sixth in IA.

 

EDIT: Gingrich 4th, Perry 5th. (current projections)

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Santorum only did well because the cable news stations manufactured this "surge" a week ago and it spread like wildfire. PPP (probably the most reputable pollster out there) even called out CNN for touting its only polling data (which showed Santorum in striking distance) because it did not accurately reflect the voter dynamics of a caucus. His record was completely unvetted despite his name flooding the airwaves for the last week or so for its "momentum" and "electability." That's the only way Santorum could have won despite little cash, little campaign infrastructure, and terrible performance in the debates.

 

Outside of Paul, this Republican field is disgustingly awful. I'd rather see Obama get re-elected than have any of them get into the White House.

 

Well, you'll probably get your wish, baring some big change. Paul won't get out of the primaries and the rest are probably unelectable in the general. The GOP seems to be holding their heavy hitters for 2016 (with guys like Christie, Jeb, maybe Ryan and Rubio).

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Santorum only did well because the cable news stations manufactured this "surge" a week ago and it spread like wildfire.

 

there was some talk about the evangelical vote trying to focus in on one candidate instead of having it split between Bachmann, Perry, Santorum, etc, is that part of what you're referring to? I mean I don't doubt that there are some religous organizations out there who might be trying to point everyone to one candidate... not sure how much effect that might have though. Was definitely curious to see the Santorum surge after he didn't really do anything.

 

 

 

 

 

Iowa likes Mitt Romney

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Santorum only did well because the cable news stations manufactured this "surge" a week ago and it spread like wildfire.

 

there was some talk about the evangelical vote trying to focus in on one candidate instead of having it split between Bachmann, Perry, Santorum, etc, is that part of what you're referring to? I mean I don't doubt that there are some religous organizations out there who might be trying to point everyone to one candidate... not sure how much effect that might have though. Was definitely curious to see the Santorum surge after he didn't really do anything.

 

 

 

 

 

Iowa likes Mitt Romney

getting old, bro :fit

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http://politicaltick...-a-chickenhawk/

 

Paul responding to a question from about Gingrich's assertion that the Texas congressman would be a "dangerous" candidate.

 

"You know, when Newt Gingrich was called to serve us in the 1960s during the Vietnam era, guess what he thought about danger? He chickened out on that and got deferments and didn't even go," Paul said.

 

"So Newt Gingrich has no business talking about danger because he is putting other people in danger. Some people call that kind of a program a 'chickenhawk' and I think he falls into that category."

 

LOL YOU DON'T F WITH RON PAUL

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Embarrassing.. only in Iowa would a religious fanatic fiscal hypocrite like Santorum get a stage to stand on.. worse than Huckabee 4 years ago. Between Huckabee, Obama and Santorum, Iowa should lose going first.

 

Hate that Mitt went negative.. my Mitt/Newt or Newt/Mitt dream ticket may be looking like a long shot .. either way, I think (and hope) they'll be the last two standing. Just hope like hell that if Mitt does get the nomination that he won't pick Bachmann as a running mate.

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Newt is a genius..

 

Newt totally thinks so too!

 

 

but not to worry, I imagine he'll be on the speaking circuit for a long time.

 

 

 

Embarrassing.. only in Iowa would a religious fanatic fiscal hypocrite like Santorum get a stage to stand on..

 

oh I doubt Iowa will be the only place, but I could be wrong there.

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Embarrassing.. only in Iowa would a religious fanatic fiscal hypocrite like Santorum get a stage to stand on..

 

oh I doubt Iowa will be the only place, but I could be wrong there.

Santorum won't do well anywhere else. He'll get some more attention over the next couple of weeks, but he will eventually be vetted and it will get ugly for him just like it did for the rest of the GOP field. Then he'll just fizzle out and disappear. He has a very ugly record that will come to the surface now.

 

well again I keep thinking there's some states where a certain population just won't feel right voting for a mormon... but it's probably a small enough % where it won't matter much. But I do agree once people know Santorum a little more he's done too. Dude's a nut.

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romney is running ads here in massachusetts on how consistent he is and at one point states "ive been in the same church for 40 years"

 

yes, mitt...you have been in the same church for that long but here is the thing...you believe magic underwear will protect you and that native americans are one of the lost tribes of israel and so on and so forth

 

and while i suppose mormonism isnt really all that much more crazy than the other religions...there is no way realistically that a a big enough portion of the conservative vote and independents to get behind romney which is what it would take to beat obama, no matter how much the GOP tries to stonewall the economy

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Also, PPP says that a greater percentage of Republicans are committed to voting for Romney than Democrats for Obama.

 

So I think polling data shows Jimmy to be wrong on both accounts.

 

 

In general, Republicans vote for their own nominee at a higher percentage than Democrats, so this is no surprise. But, in general, this is way too early to make any real assertions about the general election. Obama has yet to start campaigning. We'll see how things shake out once the Obama starts to spend his billion dollars or so.

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