God damn. Go away Jeanne.

argh, not looking good, its supposed to be a mid-3 sometime tomorrow

 

"slow strengthening"

not looking good. this seems to be a very unpredictable Hurricane. oh well

cape, any idea on what city the eye is scheduled to pass through?

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from florida city all the way up to cape hatteras. no one knows or it would have been said already. just keep an eye on it and hope it stays away.

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don't say Florida City :mad :

I'd say more towards Ft. Lauderdale though, at the south end, but...with Jeanne - who knows :|

By when do you think Jeanne will make landfall? Will we be fine Saturday? I am worried about the FIU football game. The season home opener was cancelled thanks to Frances and I'd hate to see the next one get cancelled too.

:thumbdown

569429[/snapback]

:banghead :banghead :banghead :banghead :banghead :banghead :banghead :banghead

 

:plain

The hell? How did this storm get back on us? This thing was floating out to the middle of nowhere a week ago?

 

And how is Ivan back in the Gulf?

 

What's going on here?

Cape why do the tracks in your sig and website conflict to such an extreme?

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oops, i posted that last night and it isn't self updating. I will fix that.

What a strange track. Straight up the coast.

Weather makes no sense

What a strange track. Straight up the coast.

569614[/snapback]

 

strange and probably the worst it can happend. If that thing stay's on the coast would that allow the system to lose strenght?

or does it gain strength?

I am going to put up my guess now: This heads a further south than the track currently has it, hits in South Florida, turns north and goes up the Land O'Lakes.

I am going to put up my guess now: This heads a further south than the track currently has it, hits in South Florida, turns north and goes up the Land O'Lakes.

569637[/snapback]

 

:thumbdown :thumbdown

wow thats a huge hurricane

If you check the Sat Loop (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-wv-loop.html) seems like Jeanne moving NW...

I am going to put up my guess now: This heads a further south than the track currently has it, hits in South Florida, turns north and goes up the Land O'Lakes.

569637[/snapback]

 

:thumbdown :thumbdown

569644[/snapback]

hey, it's only a guess. nothing real scientific about it.

s***

i guess you could say I've been following all these storms, but I quit paying attention to Jeanne awhile back, even though it's track (the 360 thing) was my wallpaper.

 

Now it looks to be heading our way?

:confused

5pm advisory

 

Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on September 23, 2004

 

...Jeanne moving a little faster to the west-northwest...

...Expected to turn westward by Friday...

 

 

a Hurricane Watch is in effect for the northwest Bahamas. A

Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible in

the watch area within 36 hours.

 

 

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the central Bahamas...

including Cat Island...the Exumas...Long Island...Rum Cay...and

San Salvador.

 

 

Interests on the Florida Peninsula should closely monitor the

progress of Jeanne.

 

 

At 5 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Jeanne was located

near latitude 25.9 north...longitude 70.3 west or about 425

miles... 680 km...east of great abaco island.

 

 

Jeanne is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph...13 km/hr. A

gradual turn toward the west at a slightly faster forward speed is

expected to occur later tonight or Friday.

 

 

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...165 km/hr...with higher

gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...

and Jeanne could become a major hurricane on Friday.

 

 

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles... 75 km...

from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up

to 140 miles...220 km.

 

 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 966 mb...28.53 inches.

 

 

Dangerous surf and rip currents...caused by large swells generated

by Hurricane Jeanne...are possible along the southeastern U.S.

Coast and the northwest and central Bahamas for the next few days.

 

 

Repeating the 5 PM EDT position...25.9 N... 70.3 W. Movement

toward...west-northwest near 8 mph. Maximum sustained

winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 966 mb.

 

 

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor

products issued by your local weather office.

 

 

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National

Hurricane Center at 8 PM EDT followed by the next

complete advisory at 11 PM EDT.

 

 

Forecaster Stewart

 

 

 

 

$$

WHILE THE EYE OF JEANNE HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE DISTINCT...

SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THAT THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE

STRUCTURE HAS CHANGED LITTLE THIS AFTERNOON...SO THE INTENSITY IS

BEING MAINTAINED AT 90 KT. THE NEXT RECON FLIGHT INTO JEANNE WILL

BE AROUND 24/06Z

 

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/06. JEANNE HAS BEEN WOBBLING IN A GENERAL

WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THE PAST 9 HOURS...BUT A TURN TOWARD TO

THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. THIS

HAS BEEN THE YEAR FOR WRAPAROUND RIDGES...AND 12Z UPPER-AIR DATA

INDICATE THAT JEANNE IS CAUGHT IN SUCH A PATTERN. HOWEVER...ALL OF

THE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS AGREE THAT THE WESTERN PORTION OF

THE RIDGE ACROSS FLORIDA WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 12-24

HOURS...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW JEANNE TO MOVE WESTWARD AT A FASTER

FORWARD SPEED. ALL OF THE MODELS ARE GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON

A STRONG RIDGE/HIGH CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER PENNSYLVANIA AND WEST

VIRGINIA MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD TO NEAR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA IN

ABOUT 48-60 HOURS. HOWEVER...THERE ARE ENOUGH SUBTLE DIFFERENCES

THAT COULD DETERMINE IF...WHEN...AND WHERE JEANNE COULD MAKE

LANDFALL ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. THE ETA...NOGAPS...AND GFDN

MODELS ARE THE FARTHEST SOUTH AND BRING JEANNE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA

AND TO NEAR THE TAMPA BAY AREA. THE OTHER MODELS REMAIN JUST INLAND

FROM THE FLORIDA EAST COAST WITH LANDFALL BETWEEN WEST PALM BEACH

AND CAPE CANAVERAL. THE FORECAST TRACK WAS NUDGED SLIGHTLY SOUTH

AND WEST BASED ON THE GFDL...GFS...AND UKMET MODELS HAVING

INITIALIZED THE RIDGE TOO WEAK...BY ABOUT 20 METERS AT 500 MB.

USERS ARE CAUTIONED TO NOT FOCUS ON THE SPECIFIC FORECAST POINTS

DUE TO FORECAST UNCERTAINTY...THE LARGE SIZE OF THE HURRICANE...AND

BECAUSE JEANNE COULD TAKE A MORE ROUNDED PATH NEAR LANDFALL THAN

IMPLIED BY SIMPLY CONNECTING THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST POINTS. A

60-HR POINT WOULD BE CLOSE TO 26.7N 79.8W WITH A 100-KT INTENSITY.

 

THE SHIPS MODEL AND THE VARIOUS GLOBAL MODELS NOW INDICATE THAT

SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR MAY HOLD OFF UNTIL JEANNE

GETS NEAR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST IN ABOUT 60 HOURS. THIS MAY ALLOW

JEANNE TO STRENGTHEN INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE AS THE CYCLONE MOVES

OVER INCREASINGLY WARMER WATER...83-84F...LOCATED FROM THE

NORTHWEST BAHAMAS WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST.

 

FORECASTER STEWART

You think this will keep its track and hit near Lake Okechobee or more towards South FL?

Probably no school monday and tuesday for most of florida

Probably no school monday and tuesday for most of florida

570002[/snapback]

I'm gonna have no winter or spring break. We've already missed 7 days so far here in Brevard.

*Hannibal Lector voice*

Hello Jeanne