June 6, 20233 yr 1 hour ago, mystikol87 said: I still believe run differential is a valuable indicator of expected future performance. I also was down on the team in April and when they were -54 or something. The historical odds didn’t look good. But that’s different than saying to pack it in or it’s not worth watching or following the team. Sure, I don't wanna discount what run differential shows especially once the full picture is shown but it's not final in April and it can fluctuate.
June 6, 20233 yr 2 hours ago, SilverBullet said: At the very least this shows why you just keep watching the games. There were literally people in April saying don't bother with this team cuz of their run differential. What's the point of being a fan if you're just gonna pack it in during the first month and not bother watching the stories unfold? To be fair, this team usually IS out of it in April lol. 2 hours ago, mystikol87 said: From the rosters of the 4 teams with <1% odds of making the playoffs, here are 4 potential targets — what do you think? (1) Jeimer Candelario, 3B (WSN): 1.8 fWAR. wOBA .340; expected .322 29 y/o. 5 years service time, current deal $5M/1 year. (2) Victor Robles, CF (WSN): 0.5 fWAR. wOBA .341, expected .334 26 y/o. 4 years service time, current deal $2.3M/1 year. (3) Elias Diaz, C (COL): 1.1 fWAR. wOBA .362; expected .336 32 y/o. Signed for $14.5M/3 years through 2024. (4) Ryan McMahon, 2B/3B (COL): 0.9 fWAR. wOBA .350; expected .343 28 y/o. Signed through 2027 at ~$12M/year. I think an asterisk needs to be added to those 2 COL guys with home/away splits. I'm always skeptical of COL batting numbers. Also, first time I've seen Washington abbreviated to WSN.
June 6, 20233 yr 1 hour ago, rmc523 said: I think an asterisk needs to be added to those 2 COL guys with home/away splits. I'm always skeptical of COL batting numbers. Also, first time I've seen Washington abbreviated to WSN. That's how Fangraphs abbreviates it, actually! And you're right, they both have pretty dramatic home/road splits.
June 7, 20233 yr 2 hours ago, hovertical said: Candelario was the dude we seemingly couldn't get out during that series, right? Yes.
June 7, 20233 yr Wow, I couldn't believe we are in the middle of Wild Card race. I hope our name still exist on the list, even though 2023 season would end. Edited June 7, 20233 yr by Bret Hart
June 7, 20233 yr 18 minutes ago, SonOfJack said: Where's the unofficial wild card hunt thread? It's also this thread. Very confusing I know but that's the @pollythewog effect.
June 7, 20233 yr Author 2 hours ago, Michael said: It's also this thread. Very confusing I know but that's the @pollythewog effect. Personal attack. @hovertical pls alert @Michael in the VIP forums that I’ve been personally attacked and to ban @Michael
June 7, 20233 yr 15 minutes ago, pollythewog said: Personal attack. @hovertical pls alert @Michael in the VIP forums that I’ve been personally attacked and to ban @Michael What should I do, I feel left out
June 7, 20233 yr 9 minutes ago, SonOfJack said: I ran out of material, I've seen it all Start back at the beginning!
June 7, 20233 yr An article on the Athletic said the Royals are telling teams interested in Chapman that they have 2 options: 1) Give better prospects now and have him for 4 months vs. 2 2) Take Chapman as a package with another player to shed payroll for them. And mentioned option 2 is interpreted as either Chapman+Perez or Chapman+Barlow.
June 7, 20233 yr Author 34 minutes ago, rmc523 said: An article on the Athletic said the Royals are telling teams interested in Chapman that they have 2 options: 1) Give better prospects now and have him for 4 months vs. 2 2) Take Chapman as a package with another player to shed payroll for them. And mentioned option 2 is interpreted as either Chapman+Perez or Chapman+Barlow. Chapman + Perez would really be something
June 7, 20233 yr 34 minutes ago, pollythewog said: Chapman + Perez would really be something Why would they just dump their best chip in with Chapman to just shed payroll lol. I'm sure there would be PLENTY of teams willing to trade for just Perez alone if he were available.
June 7, 20233 yr 7 minutes ago, hovertical said: to just shed payroll lol. Cheap ownership things though I don't think they'd do it. Their owner is cheap but he isn't Oakland-level cheap.
June 7, 20233 yr 6 minutes ago, SonOfJack said: Cheap ownership things though I don't think they'd do it. Their owner is cheap but he isn't Oakland-level cheap. Point is they wouldn't have to package Perez to move him. I'm sure plenty of teams would be willing to trade for him alone. Its not like he's making 30mil a year and plays like Stallings.
June 7, 20233 yr Author 1 hour ago, hovertical said: Why would they just dump their best chip in with Chapman to just shed payroll lol. I'm sure there would be PLENTY of teams willing to trade for just Perez alone if he were available. Perez is getting older, he wasn’t very good last year, the $60m left through 2025 is a significant over pay for his services
June 7, 20233 yr 18 minutes ago, pollythewog said: Perez is getting older, he wasn’t very good last year, the $60m left through 2025 is a significant over pay for his services Uh he still posted a .750ops with 23hrs last year from one of the hardest positions to find offense.
June 7, 20233 yr 1 hour ago, hovertical said: Why would they just dump their best chip in with Chapman to just shed payroll lol. I'm sure there would be PLENTY of teams willing to trade for just Perez alone if he were available. According to the article, that's what was coming from the Royals, though.
June 7, 20233 yr lol did you guys watch Perez the last few days? His defense looks sloppy and lazy. Of course he's better than Stallings, but good god.
June 7, 20233 yr 20 minutes ago, LordMagnus said: lol did you guys watch Perez the last few days? His defense looks sloppy and lazy. Of course he's better than Stallings, but good god. Trade Cooper and see if he can play first? Or hell, he'd be a solid DH too. Emphasis on solid because dude is thicc
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