June 28, 20233 yr +53 run differential over their last 44 games. That’s an extremely-impressive, nearly two months long stretch. They definitely have a shot to be positive by the all star break.
June 28, 20233 yr I've been a sabrmetric guy for a long time, but run differential is something to look at for a short-term period, like babip, or line drive %. If a team or player consistently outperforms an indicator, then there is another element in play. On May 1 we might have thought there was significant over performance, since May 1, not so much.
June 28, 20233 yr 13 hours ago, SilverBullet said: I think the club option already makes him not a lame duck so they don't have to pick up that early. Or they can at least wait longer than opening day. Sure, though I think it'd be good for team morale after this year (assuming it continues to go well) to pick it up and show players/the organization and the league that success here will be rewarded.
June 28, 20233 yr 2 hours ago, EricWiener1970 said: I've been a sabrmetric guy for a long time, but run differential is something to look at for a short-term period, like babip, or line drive %. If a team or player consistently outperforms an indicator, then there is another element in play. On May 1 we might have thought there was significant over performance, since May 1, not so much. I agree with what I see as your post’s most important implication, that the full-season run differential is not a particularly valuable stat for this 2023 Marlins squad. Edited June 28, 20233 yr by mystikol87
June 28, 20233 yr 25 minutes ago, mystikol87 said: I agree with what I see as your post’s most important implication, that the full-season run differential is not a particularly valuable stat for this 2023 Marlins squad. Contextually, yes. Baseball is a game with many variables. And the team in the first week of the season isn't the same as what we're. Cueto and Rogers are on the IL, so a large portion of the rotation is different. All by itself, that changes the largest impact upon RA by a significant amount.
June 28, 20233 yr 13 hours ago, pollythewog said: Take out those braves games and their season run differential is +190 +26 to be exact with a 45-28 record. Not bad.
June 29, 20233 yr Run differential at -2 now if I'm not mistaken? We're like a solid win away from a positive run differential and then the nerds have to start admitting the Marlins aren't shit!
June 29, 20233 yr 8 hours ago, SilverBullet said: Run differential at -2 now if I'm not mistaken? We're like a solid win away from a positive run differential and then the nerds have to start admitting the Marlins aren't shit! That's what it looks like 332 vs 334. (Didn't the stats page on mlb's website used to have a "RS" and "RA" in one spot instead of having to tab between hitting/pitching?)
June 29, 20233 yr 9 hours ago, SilverBullet said: Run differential at -2 now if I'm not mistaken? We're like a solid win away from a positive run differential and then the nerds have to start admitting the Marlins aren't shit! And just in time for our next series against Atlanta!
June 29, 20233 yr 32 minutes ago, rmc523 said: That's what it looks like 332 vs 334. (Didn't the stats page on mlb's website used to have a "RS" and "RA" in one spot instead of having to tab between hitting/pitching?) Used to be in the standings tab IIRC.
June 29, 20233 yr Meanwhile, the Mets will now end June without winning a single series in the month.
June 30, 20233 yr 4 hours ago, pollythewog said: 14 over?! some states are 16 and over but i'm not aware of a 14+ state. ask @Rydawg Edited June 30, 20233 yr by hovertical
June 30, 20233 yr 4 minutes ago, hovertical said: some states are 16 and over but i'm not aware of a 14+ state. ask @Rydawg
June 30, 20233 yr 8 minutes ago, hovertical said: some states are 16 and over but i'm not aware of a 14+ state. ask @Rydawg No politics.
June 30, 20233 yr 1 hour ago, hovertical said: some states are 16 and over but i'm not aware of a 14+ state. ask @Rydawg Come on man! I'm a pervert not a pedophile! LOL
June 30, 20233 yr 1 hour ago, Rydawg said: Come on man! I'm a pervert not a pedophile! LOL if it sweats it's a pet?
July 1, 20233 yr People always say Braves is too good to beat, why they be this good !? why they acquire Olson and Murphy in the last off-season !? we also need to upgrade C and 1B but this FO not even try to beat the Braves to acquire one of them (other 28 teams didn't do that either ), so all the league need to account for this.
July 1, 20233 yr 34 minutes ago, TaiwanMarlins said: People always say Braves is too good to beat, why they be this good !? why they acquire Olson and Murphy in the last off-season !? we also need to upgrade C and 1B but this FO not even try to beat the Braves to acquire one of them (other 28 teams didn't do that either ), so all the league need to account for this. Cause they spend money wisely.
July 1, 20233 yr 8 hours ago, SonOfJack said: Cause they spend money wisely. And Marlins (and other 28 team) didn't outbid them when Olson and Murphy available.
July 1, 20233 yr 1 minute ago, TaiwanMarlins said: And Marlins (and other 28 team) didn't outbid them when Olson and Murphy available. There's no guarantee Olson would've signed long term. Could've ended up trading a haul to get him just to see him exit in FA. He is from Georgia and was happy to be there.
July 1, 20233 yr I have a feeling that if they hadn't traded for Stallings just the year before they would have made a stronger attempt to get Murphy this past offseason. I know they were linked as one of the interested teams but I think they felt like Stallings couldn't possibly be just as bad a second year in a row 🤣 Edited July 1, 20233 yr by hovertical
July 1, 20233 yr 30 minutes ago, hovertical said: I think they felt like Stallings couldn't possibly be just as bad a second year in a row 🤣 He's not! He's worse.
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.