Whats going on with pitching in the majors this year?

[heat84]

The seasons barely 25% over and there's already been 4 no hitters(2 perfect games). It not just those, but it seems like its been a pitchers league(with starters at least) in general so far this season. Is it because everybody's(hitters at least) off the steroids? Something with the strike zone? (God forbid) Could it be sabermetrics?

[Dr Beinfest]

I think it's the fact that pitchers are getting too good to be honest.

[Schnellders]

Suppose it shouldnt be too much of a shock regarding Halladay and Jimenez since they are elite pitchers anyway. Some nights the calls just go your way

[Michael]

4 no hitters?

Who threw #4?

Typo?

 

I only know of:

Jimenez

Braden

Halladay

 

 

Either way, though, I definitely agree, the pitching [and actually, baseball in GENERAL] has been pretty crazy.

 

The Blue Jays hitting 50 homers this month when 21 teams don't even have 50 for the season?

Wow.

[Erick]

If the NL doesn't win the All Star Game this year, they never might get it done again.

Hyperbole, but seriously the NL pitching staff should be fun to watch.

[heat84]

Not a typo. For some reason I thought there were 4.

 

 

Despite Uggla going 3-30 something through yesterday, he's still tied for the NL lead in HR's(and 4 back of the ML lead.). And Cantu was only 5 back in the RBI stat. The way things are going, nobody might hit 40 HR"s this season. When was the last time that happened? The 70's?

 

BTW: Its the first time since 1880 that 2 perfect games have been thrown in the same season.

[Jonny Ramos]

It's time to bring the DH to the NL, pitchers are getting ridiculous. No lie.

[Rabbethan]

It's time to bring the DH to the NL, pitchers are getting ridiculous. No lie.

 

Not really. We're still scoring more runs than they were 20 years ago.

 

Also, enough with the DH. This is Major League Baseball, not little league. What's next, lets add a shortfielder?

[Erick]

Not a typo. For some reason I thought there were 4.

 

 

Despite Uggla going 3-30 something through yesterday, he's still tied for the NL lead in HR's(and 4 back of the ML lead.). And Cantu was only 5 back in the RBI stat. The way things are going, nobody might hit 40 HR"s this season. When was the last time that happened? The 70's?

 

BTW: Its the first time since 1880 that 2 perfect games have been thrown in the same season.

 

 

 

It's really been surprising to see some of the guys actually leading the league in HR's this year, as well. Not exactly who people would expect topping the list, these days.

[Marlins Phenom]

Not a typo. For some reason I thought there were 4.

 

 

Despite Uggla going 3-30 something through yesterday, he's still tied for the NL lead in HR's(and 4 back of the ML lead.). And Cantu was only 5 back in the RBI stat. The way things are going, nobody might hit 40 HR"s this season. When was the last time that happened? The 70's?

 

BTW: Its the first time since 1880 that 2 perfect games have been thrown in the same season.

 

No way.. Howard, Dunn, Pujols One of those will hit 40 no doubt about it

[alejandrasnow]

It's time to bring the DH to the NL, pitchers are getting ridiculous. No lie.

 

Not really. We're still scoring more runs than they were 20 years ago.

 

Also, enough with the DH. This is Major League Baseball, not little league. What's next, lets add a shortfielder?

 

I agree with this sentiment. Besides, I'll take a pitching duel over a slugfest any day.

[heat84]

Another PG tonight(should've been)! This is crazy. I 'm gonna say there's gonna be 4 more no-hitters and 1 more PG this season. That sounds crazy, but the way this season is going it isn't.

 

And one of those will be by a Marlin pitcher. Which of course, isn't crazy.

[Dr Beinfest]

Honestly... it seems to me that one of two things is happeneing.

 

Either the pitchers have discovered a secret method to no-hitting the other team...

 

or that secret method is actaully called paying off the other team

[industrialescampeon]

Honestly... it seems to me that one of two things is happeneing.

 

Either the pitchers have discovered a secret method to no-hitting the other team...

 

or that secret method is actaully called paying off the other team

 

 

So do you mean that the Doc bribed our Fish?! Are they not happy with the salaries Loria gives them!? Blasphemy!

 

Which brings me to the question: What would Cody do with some extra cabbage?

[heat84]

I know what it is. Genetic enginneering! The next great scandal in sports..

[prinmemito]

Its a random set of occurrences. Statistically, this will happen at some point.

[Dr Beinfest]

Honestly... it seems to me that one of two things is happeneing.

 

Either the pitchers have discovered a secret method to no-hitting the other team...

 

or that secret method is actaully called paying off the other team

 

 

So do you mean that the Doc bribed our Fish?! Are they not happy with the salaries Loria gives them!? Blasphemy!

 

Which brings me to the question: What would Cody do with some extra cabbage?

 

As one Doctor to another, I can tell you that I've had a few words with Doc and this seems to be the case.

 

And if you ask me... if Cody Ross isnt a spitting image of Popeye then I dont know what is. Cody dont do roids, Cody do spinach

 

Official, I have to make a new signature of that.

[mystikol87]

FWIW.

 

20 perfect games in about 660 months of baseball (110 years X 6 months per season). Odds of having a perfect game in a month is roughly 1/30.

 

Since we've had 660 months, the chances that one of them would have had 3 perfect games is about 2.5%. And we play more games now per month than we used to.

[PBCMarlinsFan]

FWIW.

 

20 perfect games in about 660 months of baseball (110 years X 6 months per season). Odds of having a perfect game in a month is roughly 1/30.

 

Since we've had 660 months, the chances that one of them would have had 3 perfect games is about 2.5%. And we play more games now per month than we used to.

 

 

You might want to check your math there. A better calculation would be to use the total number of games played since the beginning of MLB rather than using the number of months. There have been roughly 392,000 MLB games played to date and 20 perfect games, which I believe means that the chances of a perfect game being pitched in any given game are 1 in 19,600. The odds of a person being struck by lightning during their lifetime is 1 in 5,000, FWIW.

 

Also, we are talking about either 134 years or 139 years of professional baseball — depending on your POV — not 110 years (unless you are only talking about the modern era). If you are going just by the modern era though, and it seems you might, there have been 18 perfect games since 1900.

[Schnellders]

So how many more, if any, no-hitters or perfectos do we see this season? I'm calling just 1 more no-hitter, 0 perfect games

[heat84]

So how many more, if any, no-hitters or perfectos do we see this season? I'm calling just 1 more no-hitter, 0 perfect games

 

I 'm gonna say there's gonna be 4 more no-hitters and 1 more PG this season. That sounds crazy, but the way this season is going it isn't.

 

And one of those will be by a Marlin pitcher. Which of course, isn't crazy. public/style_emoticons/default/tongue.gif

[Dr Beinfest]

I'll go with 3 no-hitters and one of them being a PG ruined by an error in the 9th inning

[gizmo]

I don't think there will be any more no hitters this season. But if there were to be another one, it won't be coming from a big name pitcher like Sabathia or Santana.

[mystikol87]

FWIW.

 

20 perfect games in about 660 months of baseball (110 years X 6 months per season). Odds of having a perfect game in a month is roughly 1/30.

 

Since we've had 660 months, the chances that one of them would have had 3 perfect games is about 2.5%. And we play more games now per month than we used to.

 

 

You might want to check your math there. A better calculation would be to use the total number of games played since the beginning of MLB rather than using the number of months. There have been roughly 392,000 MLB games played to date and 20 perfect games, which I believe means that the chances of a perfect game being pitched in any given game are 1 in 19,600. The odds of a person being struck by lightning during their lifetime is 1 in 5,000, FWIW.

 

Also, we are talking about either 134 years or 139 years of professional baseball — depending on your POV — not 110 years (unless you are only talking about the modern era). If you are going just by the modern era though, and it seems you might, there have been 18 perfect games since 1900.

 

 

The math isn't wrong; you're just asserting that the assumptions are. And the number of games played is fine, it just makes it a lot more complicated. Even if you change the number to 18, then it's 1/36 months (admittedly roughly), and that gives you about a 1.4% chance that a calendar month would have 3 perfect games. Certainly it's much more likely to happen in any 30-day period than a month, but I was giving it a rough idea.

 

As for what you said, 392k games means 784k pitching performances that could have technically resulted in perfect games, so it's even more rare. 1/40,000 isn't too far off. Now if there are 32 X 2 (teams X # of games per month) = 832 pitching performances for 30-day time span (I'm just guessing a tem plays 26 games during a 30-day span, on average), then you get roughly a 2% chance of a perfect game occuring in any 30-day period (assuming I did this correctly).

[Erick]

I don't think there will be any more no hitters this season. But if there were to be another one, it won't be coming from a big name pitcher like Sabathia or Santana.

 

 

It'll be coming from a big name pitcher named Johnson instead. :hat