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Mike Stanton's Career Numbers


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There is a reason I've never heard of that reporter he knows nothing...

 

Also, he's only going to play til he's 35?

 

 

 

John Sickels is one of the most respected prospect analyis.

 

Also, something left out of the OP that is incredibly important:

 

"Remember, the Crystal Ball is not a prediction or projection. It is intended to spark discussion about the player in question, in this case young Florida Marlins slugger Michael Stanton. How good will he be? Does this undersell him?"

 

That's not his prediction or projection. It is simply there to start a discussion among his readers. And the poll winner: Too Pessimistic; his peak will be better

 

http://www.minorleagueball.com/2010/9/5/1670429/crystal-ball-michael-stanton

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Sickels is actually a pretty good writer and follows the minor league system pretty well.

 

It's not surprising he feels this way. Writers tend to undersell predictions. They don't want to look stupid if they make outlandish predictions and they don't become true, thus they usually go on the lower edge of predictions.

 

It's extremely hard to predict Mike Stanton's career stats, but if he reaches his power potential there should be no reason he doesn't reach at least 400 home runs in his career.

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Also, in his comment section:

 

"Here is the thing with the crystal balls. Sometimes I pitch these to what I see as a player’s peak, sometimes to the midpoint, and sometimes to the floor. I usually don’t tell you which I’m doing beforehand, basically because I want to see how people react and I want you guys to hash it out in the discussion.

 

This Stanton CB is a “floor� view. I do see this as a possible outcome, but you could also do one where he his 600 homers and that would be quite possible too."

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Its not a matter of how long he plays...

 

the fact that he has 18 this season and he hasnt played even half a season...

 

Multiply his numbers by 2 and in his rookie season he's at 36 HRs. From his rookie season. (Im not claiming he'd hit that many, but to project that a 21 year old couldnt do that in the future? Come on...)

 

This is basically saying that Stanton's HR abilities peaked before he completed a full season and he's going to hit... less HRs from here on out? What a moron.

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There is a reason I've never heard of that reporter he knows nothing...

 

Also, he's only going to play til he's 35?

 

 

 

John Sickels is one of the most respected prospect analyis.

 

Also, something left out of the OP that is incredibly important:

 

"Remember, the Crystal Ball is not a prediction or projection. It is intended to spark discussion about the player in question, in this case young Florida Marlins slugger Michael Stanton. How good will he be? Does this undersell him?"

 

That's not his prediction or projection. It is simply there to start a discussion among his readers. And the poll winner: Too Pessimistic; his peak will be better

 

http://www.minorleag...michael-stanton

 

 

Also, in his comment section:

 

"Here is the thing with the crystal balls. Sometimes I pitch these to what I see as a player’s peak, sometimes to the midpoint, and sometimes to the floor. I usually don’t tell you which I’m doing beforehand, basically because I want to see how people react and I want you guys to hash it out in the discussion.

 

This Stanton CB is a “floor� view. I do see this as a possible outcome, but you could also do one where he his 600 homers and that would be quite possible too."

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Also, in his comment section:

 

"Here is the thing with the crystal balls. Sometimes I pitch these to what I see as a player’s peak, sometimes to the midpoint, and sometimes to the floor. I usually don’t tell you which I’m doing beforehand, basically because I want to see how people react and I want you guys to hash it out in the discussion.

 

This Stanton CB is a “floor� view. I do see this as a possible outcome, but you could also do one where he his 600 homers and that would be quite possible too."

 

 

John Sickels responded in the comments to the projection with that. I figured you hadn't bothered reading this post because you were so angry.

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