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Harold Reynolds: "Marlins will win 80 games"

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  • Author

Reynolds has been a Marlins homer before if I remember correctly.

This seems way past just being a homer though. Not sure even the homers around here would say eighty wins. With that said, I would love to hear his explanation for it.

I honestly don't find it too far-fetched. Is it incredibly likely? not really. But it's definitely possible if our players all play to the level they're expected mixed with some luck and career years. Shit, I was reading the old topics from 2003 the other day (you can tell I have insomnia lmao) and before 2003 Alex Gonzalez was basically on his last lifeline and he comes out and hits 23 home runs with gold glove level defense, Lowell has a career year, Miggy came up and boosted the offense when Holly shit the bed (not unlike we could see with Sanchez/Harrison) D-train came up (a la Sixto Sanchez) and boosted a rotation that lost Burnett to Tommy John, becket to an elbow sprain for a few months, and outside of Redman and Pavano was horribly underperforming. I'm not saying they're a playoff team, but a couple career years (I'm seeing Banderson, and Dickerson balling out), a step forward from the pitching, and some dumb fucking luck, It's not completely out of the realm of possiblity.

 

edit: I'm also hoping for some really good things coming from the walls coming in. If you've played you know how a huge field can really fuck with your approach at the plate when you feel you need the power of thor to hit it out. After all, we have the second lowest park factor in the big leagues so it defintely plays a part. @SilverBullet Maybe I'm the homer you're talking about lol

  • Author

@SilverBullet Maybe I'm the homer you're talking about lol

If you have valid reasons and you can argue why you think they can win 80 games then I'm not talking about you. I mean the guys who are just like "OMG MY TEAM IS SO FIRE THEY ARE GONNA WIN IT ALL"

Just saw Reynolds' projected final records for the NL East, and he has the Marlins at 80-82 in last place. If the NL East is that good, then someone from another division will be getting into the playoffs with a losing record. I don't think Reynolds remembered that there are other divisions and that wins and losses have to match up across the league.

Just saw Reynolds' projected final records for the NL East, and he has the Marlins at 80-82 in last place. If the NL East is that good, then someone from another division will be getting into the playoffs with a losing record. I don't think Reynolds remembered that there are other divisions and that wins and losses have to match up across the league.

No team is getting into the playoffs with a losing record. In 2005 when the NL East as a whole was .500 or better, the Padres won the NL West still with a winning record - 82 wins, so barely, but they did it.

a LOT would have to break right for them to get to 80 wins this season. not saying it's impossible but they have a better shot at it going into this season than last season. I'm guessing low 70's for win totals so yeah - some lucky breaks and sure 80 wins is feasible.

This seems way past just being a homer though. Not sure even the homers around here would say eighty wins. With that said, I would love to hear his explanation for it.

 

I think we can hit 80 homers this year.

  • Author

Just to round out the projections from that MLB Network spot here's what they all predicted for the Marlins...

 

Harold Reynolds: 80-82

Ken Rosenthal: 72-90

Matt Vasgersian: 65-97

Keith(?): 66-96

 

They all agree that the Marlins will be better but that the rest of the division will still be too good for us to make any impact in the standings yet. At least we're improving!

HR is on drugs. No way the Marlins make a 27 game improvement over last year.

 

Winning 70-75 games itself would be a giant step for the organization. The NL East is going to be tough. Real tough.

 

Hell most of the National League is going to be real competivie.

The NL East is going to be tough. Real tough.

Everyone said this last year too, but I still struggle to see greatness in either the Mets or Phillies. Not saying you, Das, but there were some folks out there thinking all four other teams would be 90+ wins in 2019.

 

I think the Mets and Phillies both will be in the neighborhood of 85 wins again, but could easily be in the 70s if a few things go the wrong way. Neither have deep systems or pockets to pull from.

Everyone said this last year too, but I still struggle to see greatness in either the Mets or Phillies. Not saying you, Das, but there were some folks out there thinking all four other teams would be 90+ wins in 2019.

 

I think the Mets and Phillies both will be in the neighborhood of 85 wins again, but could easily be in the 70s if a few things go the wrong way. Neither have deep systems or pockets to pull from.

Yeah. The Braves will be good. The Nationals will probably be worse than this past year (losing Rendon will hurt big time). The ceiling for the Mets and Phillies is probably around 85 wins, and I guarantee you at least one of those teams will be in the 70s. It also wouldn't shock me to see the Mets sell around the deadline if they're out of it (one of Syndergaard or Stroman could ultimately get moved).

 

That doesn't mean the Marlins will win 80 games (I see 70-75 as the most likely scenario), but the NL East is not that good.

 

I'll also say I think the over-under of 63.5 is a pretty easy bet and I would be pretty surprised if they didn't top it. I don't think this team is only six wins better than last season.

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